At this point I am not expecting to see the game live, but I cannot confirm that. I can only hope that we perform as we did last week.

After last week it will be very interesting to see how we back up.

I've recently made comments about Pittonets ruckwork.
Best i've seen from a bloke in navy blue since Matty Allen.

I've also gone on to say that his form could potentially spell the end for our beloved Matty Kreuzer.

People have their own opinions, but i prefer to back it up with stats where possible.
So I've done just that with the help of some new stats i've come across in regards to rucking.

Stats used are
RC - Ruck Contests - How many times you've competed in a 1-on-1 ruck contest
HO - Hitout - Normal stat, how many hitouts you've one
HA - Hitout to Advantage - how useful those hitouts were. Was it to the direct advantage of your team.
HO% - Hitout % - What percentatge of hitouts that you competed in, did you win.
HA% - Hitouts to Advantage % - What percentage of hitouts that you won, went to advantage
CA% - Contests to Advantage % - What percentage of ruck contests that you competed in, resulted in a hitout to advantage

This last one is the key as it tells us what are the chances that we will get a direct advantage from any give ruck contest.
HA% only tells us how effective the hitouts we get our hands on are and it doesn't include the contests we lost.

With that in mind.
Lets look at our week by week of Pittonet vs Opponent

[table]
[tr][td]R#  RC  HO  HA  HO%  HA%  CA%  Player
R2 65 23 10 35% 43% 15%  Pittonet
R2 72 34 10 47% 29% 14%  Gawn

R3 65 36 15 55% 42% 23%  Pittonet
R3 50 17   4 34% 24%   8%  Stanley

R4 58 20   6 34% 30% 10%  Pittonet
R4 46 24   2 52%   8%   4%  Bellchambers

R5 48 22   7 46% 32% 15%  Pittonet
R5 49 22   4 45% 18%   8%  Marshall

R6 60 33 11 55% 33% 18%  Pittonet
R6 73 27   6 37% 22%   8%  English
[/td]
[/tr]
[/table]


What does it show us?

Despite not winning the 'hitouts' (which is the only common stat used) his hitout to advantage rate is much higher than any opponent he faces.
Further to that, despite not winning the overall hitouts, the chances of a 'hitout to advantage' when he lines up in a ruck contest is superior than anyone he comes up against. (This is the final bolded column)


After spending the better part of an hour going through a lot of the above, i a stat which sums up a lot of the above rather simply.

He is "ELITE" in hitouts to advantage competition wide.

Although as mentioned, that is only half the tale.....by extension he would also be ELITE in 'hitouts to advantage from contests rucked in.' The simple difference is the last stat takes into accounts his opponent wins as well.

Been really ill with a painful swollen shoulder.  Got too much for me so needed an ambulance today.  Far out ... shingles.

They gave me a prescription for anti viral pills and some pain killers.  God, they're powerful

Always something that knocks you for six  :o

I bet Sammo, Crippa, Martin, Fish and The Gov will be keen to put on a show in Perth!  We have a large following in the West and I would think any 'non aligned' supporters would be on our side against the likes of Hawthorn etc

We play Port at 1305 at the 'Gabba next Sunday 19th July.
We're not on free to air TV again.

This Sunday at Cararra, while I'll be driving to Melbourne, assuming I get past the roadblocks.

Remember:
[1] 15 votes in total
[2] No more than 10 votes for any one player (even Cripps)
[3] Three players at least must get a mention.
[4] A grade for the game, A+ (what I want to see) to F-.

We haven't won on free-to-air TV since 2018, when we did that once. We managed it twice, from memory, in 2017.
So, as we are NOT on free-to-air ... 

We are not favourites to win, but it will be interesting to see who deals better with the wet.

The bounce of the ball will probably be a throw if the weather forecast is correct. Rain. A fair bit of rain.

Folks, I have been discussing with DJC the question of off-topic posts and how to stop them derailing a thread. Moving posts around into another (correct) thread can be time consuming work and to be honest a pain in the butt. We are proposing therefore that, in future, the following action be taken by mods.

1. The initial off-topic post will be highlighted as soon as possible by a mod with the request to remove it and re-post into the correct thread. If this is not done within a reasonable time then the post may be removed by a mod.

2. If that off topic post has attracted any responses then the original post and any responses will be removed by a mod.

3. The posters themselves will need to re-post any removed posts into the correct thread, if they wish to continue the particular discussion.

We will endeavour to be flexible on timing as the situation may dictate but we are trying to avoid threads getting hijacked and wandering too far off-topic.

Cheers and happy posting.