09-19-2017, 10:40 AM
There seems to be a bell curve:
- at both ends (say 2% each) there is the extreme position of both sides. These people are deep rooted, extremely strong in their conviction and will respond with personal abuse, not necessarily argument about their side
- next inside (say 10% each) are those that are passionate about their side of the debate and will argue the debate fairly and decently, however, they will not change their mind
These two groups would be most likely to return the survey
- next is another 10% (each) who pretty well have their minds made up, but don't engage in the debate and are unlikely to change their mind
- The final 56% don't really care, and don't really see the impact, but are more likely to "not see the harm (if there is any)" that the no side will argue. They are also more unlikey to be bothered to return their survey.
Some in these groups would also like to know what they are responding to - eg is there an impact on free speech, "freedom of religion" , MIOs questions and maybe a few of the fringe arguments that aren't directly related to the survey ie what is the final legislation going to look like
The last two groups are obviously a huge number of people who need to be convinced by the first two groups to return the survey. This is the pure danger of the survey.
What are the results that need to occur for parliament to go with the wishes of the survey? 55/45, 65/35? Who knows. We don't.
There are no winners in the short term - the side that gets their way will be intolerable with their vitriol of "victory". Unfortunately as a country we don't do graceful winning or losing very well.
Personally, I am getting splinters. The conservative side of me wants to no side to come out with something more convincing than they have. The progressive side of me wants to believe that their argument is purely about SSM with no further agenda not being espoused and needs some convincing that this is the case. Until I get the reassurance from either side and am able to support that with conviction, I won't return the form.
Paulp - there are some legal differences between de facto and married - some things as a couple are much easier as married. You can do this cheaply at the registry office without having to buy your mates a meal and drinks...
- at both ends (say 2% each) there is the extreme position of both sides. These people are deep rooted, extremely strong in their conviction and will respond with personal abuse, not necessarily argument about their side
- next inside (say 10% each) are those that are passionate about their side of the debate and will argue the debate fairly and decently, however, they will not change their mind
These two groups would be most likely to return the survey
- next is another 10% (each) who pretty well have their minds made up, but don't engage in the debate and are unlikely to change their mind
- The final 56% don't really care, and don't really see the impact, but are more likely to "not see the harm (if there is any)" that the no side will argue. They are also more unlikey to be bothered to return their survey.
Some in these groups would also like to know what they are responding to - eg is there an impact on free speech, "freedom of religion" , MIOs questions and maybe a few of the fringe arguments that aren't directly related to the survey ie what is the final legislation going to look like
The last two groups are obviously a huge number of people who need to be convinced by the first two groups to return the survey. This is the pure danger of the survey.
What are the results that need to occur for parliament to go with the wishes of the survey? 55/45, 65/35? Who knows. We don't.
There are no winners in the short term - the side that gets their way will be intolerable with their vitriol of "victory". Unfortunately as a country we don't do graceful winning or losing very well.
Personally, I am getting splinters. The conservative side of me wants to no side to come out with something more convincing than they have. The progressive side of me wants to believe that their argument is purely about SSM with no further agenda not being espoused and needs some convincing that this is the case. Until I get the reassurance from either side and am able to support that with conviction, I won't return the form.
Paulp - there are some legal differences between de facto and married - some things as a couple are much easier as married. You can do this cheaply at the registry office without having to buy your mates a meal and drinks...

