03-03-2017, 12:49 AM
The stats do paint a picture though, especially when a look through several seasons reveals the same or similar patterns. This creates a reasonably sized sample space, to the extent that the points sbf makes are, IMO, valid.
No team has a 100% goal conversion rate from f50 entries. Nowhere near it. It's a numbers game. You need 100 entries to kick 20 goals (for example). If you're not generating a surplus of F50 entries, you're behind the 8 ball to begin with. And if your F50 entries are shallow and generate too many difficult scoring shots, you're even further behind. And if you don't have much confidence in the guy you're kicking to (even subconsciously), you look for other, perhaps more difficult options, and on it goes.
No team has a 100% goal conversion rate from f50 entries. Nowhere near it. It's a numbers game. You need 100 entries to kick 20 goals (for example). If you're not generating a surplus of F50 entries, you're behind the 8 ball to begin with. And if your F50 entries are shallow and generate too many difficult scoring shots, you're even further behind. And if you don't have much confidence in the guy you're kicking to (even subconsciously), you look for other, perhaps more difficult options, and on it goes.