Election 2016

[DJC]

Anthony Green says the LNP may end up with a 1 or 2 seat majority.  He says the AEC's seat analysis doesn't take into account the way that absent and pre-poll votes should go.

It has to be a two seat majority. It's 76 seats to form government and that leaves 74 seats for the opposition and cross benches.

Barrie Cassidy reckons a hung parliament is inevitable with the major parties each winning around 72 seats.  The AEC has the LNP leading in 67 seats with the lead in two of those less than 0.5%.  Relying on postal and pre-poll votes to snaffle another 9 seats would be a stretch.  Still, nothings guaranteed in politics.