Historically the "Nostradamus of US Elections", Allan Lichtman, will report that swings in polling this late are largely meaningless. And if you take note of how they oscillate from day to day you can see why.
The vast majority of US voters had made the decision a month or two ago and do not change, but you get small changes from motivated late registrations and motivated early voters at exit polls, but they are typically too small in number to have any real influence.
It was interesting to see Trump wanted early voting blocked / invalidated, but so far it seems the early voting might be in his favour. I wonder if he'll be asked the question now? ;D
There are rumours MAGA are planning coordinated disruptions around polling booths on the day, because the social media theory is that on the day voting favours the Democrats. This I do not understand, because I'm sure when Trump hinted at early voting bans he claimed that polling on the day favoured the GOP. It could be that the Trump driven MAGA camp are going to act so that they can claim polling disruptions are the reason for a loss, a sort of insurance policy against Harris victory.
It's genuinely insidious.
The vast majority of US voters had made the decision a month or two ago and do not change, but you get small changes from motivated late registrations and motivated early voters at exit polls, but they are typically too small in number to have any real influence.
It was interesting to see Trump wanted early voting blocked / invalidated, but so far it seems the early voting might be in his favour. I wonder if he'll be asked the question now? ;D
There are rumours MAGA are planning coordinated disruptions around polling booths on the day, because the social media theory is that on the day voting favours the Democrats. This I do not understand, because I'm sure when Trump hinted at early voting bans he claimed that polling on the day favoured the GOP. It could be that the Trump driven MAGA camp are going to act so that they can claim polling disruptions are the reason for a loss, a sort of insurance policy against Harris victory.
It's genuinely insidious.
"Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck ....... Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck"