06-14-2024, 10:40 PM
(06-14-2024, 10:06 PM)Lods link Wrote:They're a business, much like any other...
They'll put out some statistics to the general public that give half a picture.
That's a bit of a carrot
They'll sell more advanced (flashy) ones to subscribers.
The more in depth ones they'll give to the clubs and commentators...at a price.
At each level they'll probably carry a bit more weight than the previous level, but still the unpredicatbility and changing nature of the game mean they're only ever a snapshot of a point in time and record of the past.
They have little bearing on team and individuals in the games ahead, as both develop or change things up.
As a predictive tool for individuals they have limited value.
They may be useful as a review tool to initiate changes in tactics or roles but those are probably the stats we don't see.
The green is the key. We simply don't see them.
In every scenario DJC used to 'poke holes' in the argument, there is something to cover those scenarios.
1. Hitouts/clearances that lead to a score.
2. Weighted rankings based on game situation. Eg junk time
3. Output vs opponents output. Both perceived and difference from the average.
That is if 1 bloke averages 25 and only gets 10, he is 40% of his average. If cincotta limits his opponents to 40% of their average every week, you notice. They also keep track of who stands on who at any given contest.
Think about it this way....
The kicks, handball, marks and goals...along with tackles and hitouts etc are grade 1 level stats. Basic understanding. There are year 12 level stats that we sometimes hear about but largely we know nothing about. There are university and PHD level statistics that we don't even know exist.