06-14-2024, 08:51 AM
(06-14-2024, 08:37 AM)Lods link Wrote:We should probably agree to disagree Kruds.
Neither of us are going to change our opinion
I really don't discount statistics completely.
I often use them myself...but I give them less value than I do observation, even observation that contains a bit of the occasional bias.
I guess the way I see it is you're trying to apply the "logic of mathematics" to the most illogical and unpredictable of games.
A game where things that shouldn't happen often do.
A game where things such as 'momentum' in a match can change in minutes just by a side lifting their effort.
The complexity changes in the observation and the complexity of the mathematics change along with it. Everything can be taken into consideration if you have enough time.
If mathematics can be used to help model and predict the weather, a game of afl is nothing. ?
