There's probably a fair bit of generalisation going on here. 
Some players will have better seasons in their second years.
Some players will have 'not so good' seasons.
We all have views on this...
I personally don't think it would be close to a majority experiencing those second year 'downers'
I reckon if you took the top 20 players in this year's Brownlow and did both a statistical analysis and one based on observation at the time, the majority would have had better second years.
But that's also just a guess.
It has to be both statistics and reporting/ observation because statistics only ever tell you half a story and a forward who becomes a defender, or a midfielder who plays more forward, may actually drop in raw figures.
So assigned roles become a factor.
And of course all that assumes injury is not also a factor, because that can impact.
In fact injury for young players it is probably more of a reason for a drop off in form, given these guys are experiencing a pressure they haven't been exposed to in their junior football
Speculating on how a player like Hollands will go Year 2 is again just a guess (lot of guessing going on here)
His brother had a poorer second year than first.
But he's not his brother.
And individuals will perform differently, so there's no blanket rule.
The bottom line in all this is... if around half our side have better 2024s than 2023, and half of the rest stay the same we'll be a better side even if there is a drop in form for some.
If a dozen of our players drop off, we could be in strife.
Some players will have better seasons in their second years.
Some players will have 'not so good' seasons.
We all have views on this...
I personally don't think it would be close to a majority experiencing those second year 'downers'
I reckon if you took the top 20 players in this year's Brownlow and did both a statistical analysis and one based on observation at the time, the majority would have had better second years.
But that's also just a guess.
It has to be both statistics and reporting/ observation because statistics only ever tell you half a story and a forward who becomes a defender, or a midfielder who plays more forward, may actually drop in raw figures.
So assigned roles become a factor.
And of course all that assumes injury is not also a factor, because that can impact.
In fact injury for young players it is probably more of a reason for a drop off in form, given these guys are experiencing a pressure they haven't been exposed to in their junior football
Speculating on how a player like Hollands will go Year 2 is again just a guess (lot of guessing going on here)
His brother had a poorer second year than first.
But he's not his brother.
And individuals will perform differently, so there's no blanket rule.
The bottom line in all this is... if around half our side have better 2024s than 2023, and half of the rest stay the same we'll be a better side even if there is a drop in form for some.
If a dozen of our players drop off, we could be in strife.