Carlton 2024 Predictions / Expectations

[Thryleon]

Clutching at straws LP.  Second year blues is a fan's construct, as is the alternative 25 to 50 games blues. Neither happens in the real world.

Clubs compile dossiers on potential draft and rookie picks.  Those dossiers are passed on to the opposition analysts when players are drafted by other clubs. No AFL player is given a season, or 25 games, without the opposition having tactics in place to curb their influence.  Furthermore, players aren't left to their own devices when coming to terms with their AFL careers.  They are given every support possible, on and off the field.

Consider Jaxon Binns.  He's yet to make his AFL debut but has excelled at VFL level.  Opposition clubs put a lot of work into him last season because he was a standout player.  He will have had the benefits of a year playing in the VFL and training with the AFL team, as well as his first full pre-season, when he does make his debut, but his opponents will know as much about him as any other player in our team.   

When will Jaxon be struck down by the second year blues; 2024, 2025 or after he has played 25 or 50 games? 

It is a nonsense  :

im not so sure DJC.

I've noticed a trend.  A good first year can sometimes end up in a slight drop in the second season, and vice versa occurs more frequently where players who don't don't have a big first season sometimes have a bigger second year and then suffer from a regression in the 3rd year.

It doesn't happen to all of them, but Corey durdin certainly indicates that. 

Cripps is a unique case.  He broke his leg in his debut season from memory and then came back in year 2 amd went beast mode.  Like walshy.