10-16-2023, 02:16 AM
The problem with polls is as the article suggests, that the result is biased by the methodology, the type of questions, the order in which they are asked. Whether that is deliberate or not really depends on the organisation doing the polling.
Many polling organisations do conform to standards that require them to publish methodologies, but just because they are published and publicly available doesn't mean they are reliable or repeatable.
In any case, in retrospect the referendum itself was the ultimate arbiter, and when the Northern Territory ( Last survey 40% Indigenous ) says unambiguously "No", that is a difficult circumstance to be easily written off by supporters of the Voice.
I'd assert there is not much value pointing the finger at Albanese or Dutton, they had very little to do with the NT Voice result!
The next question to be answered regarding polling might be, will the organisations that run them change even if it doesn't suit their politics?
Many polling organisations do conform to standards that require them to publish methodologies, but just because they are published and publicly available doesn't mean they are reliable or repeatable.
In any case, in retrospect the referendum itself was the ultimate arbiter, and when the Northern Territory ( Last survey 40% Indigenous ) says unambiguously "No", that is a difficult circumstance to be easily written off by supporters of the Voice.
I'd assert there is not much value pointing the finger at Albanese or Dutton, they had very little to do with the NT Voice result!
The next question to be answered regarding polling might be, will the organisations that run them change even if it doesn't suit their politics?
"Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck ....... Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck"