Russian Ukraine War

[mateinone]

One thing to remember is that in the last coup staged when the military locked up Gorbachev, the people of Moscow did come out to the streets and engage in battles against the army. There are a LOT of people who still support Putin and any attempt to try and oust him by force would very likely see average Russian's risk their lives to protest against this.

Putin has (pointedly without actually naming Prigozhin), just given a televised speech declaring the action illegal and vowing revenge on anyone who continues to take part. A lot of people in the normal army are fearful of Wagner, they are easily the most experience Russian fighters (and some of the most experienced fighters in the world) and they are totally ruthless, this could explain why they have not intercepted Wagner. The key will be to see if many join them.

If a few thousand standard Russian troops did join with Wagner, then you can imagine this reaching the streets of moscow.
The other thing against Prigozhin, is he is reviled and feared by many inside the Kremlin. They worry about someone who criticizes to often and so easily and continues to get away with this. It is hard to imagine him getting broad support unless Putin orders them to accept him. The most likely outcome to end this is the arrest or death of Prigozhin still.

There is talk of gains made by Ukraine today, so perhaps they are already taking advantage of this situation.