06-24-2023, 03:35 AM
So i wrote a while back that Prigozhin was the most quite possibly the most dangerous man in Russia.
In the last 12 hours, this has come to fruition. He has turned away from Ukraine and started marching towards Moscow.
He has already surrounded the government building in Rostov, he has over 25,000 troops and it appears he is hell bent on forcing Shoigu out. The big question remains on whether his intentions include trying to take the Kremlin, or whether or not he sees himself as being like the Steltsy in the times of the tsars and thinks he is doing this to rid the Kremlin of evil doers poisoning the mind of Putin.
It has not been an uncommon theme in Russia for the elite (and before them the streltsy) to rid Russia of influential people. Peter the great was fearful of the streltsy from the time he witnessed them massacre his uncle and others when he was a child, the elite killed Rasputin etc etc. Prigozhin might actually consider himself as doing a duty for the people of Russia (who LOVE a strong man).
He more likely though is making a serious power play. Moscow has started fortifying itself for an assault, an arrest warrant has been issued for Prigozhin and it is hard to see this ending in any other way than the death of Prigozhin or a civil war of sorts.
What it means for the war in Ukraine is also interesting. If Prigozhin does continue his march on Moscow, you would think that they would need to pull back fire power to address this issue, this could create a real opportunity for Ukraine's counter offense.
Another option (though an unlikely one), is that this is a ruse to sucker Ukraine into overextending, but the US and Ukraine will have visuals on approximately how many troops have left Ukraine and crossed over into Russia.
I know inside Russia they are advising people to stay in their homes and they interrupted normal broadcasting to post urgent messages to citizens.
I don't want Putin to take over Ukraine, but I REALLY don't want Prigozhin to take over Moscow. It is still early in the morning in Russia (Moscow is 7 hours behind us, so 6:30 am), the next 12 hours will tell a lot more about the situation
In the last 12 hours, this has come to fruition. He has turned away from Ukraine and started marching towards Moscow.
He has already surrounded the government building in Rostov, he has over 25,000 troops and it appears he is hell bent on forcing Shoigu out. The big question remains on whether his intentions include trying to take the Kremlin, or whether or not he sees himself as being like the Steltsy in the times of the tsars and thinks he is doing this to rid the Kremlin of evil doers poisoning the mind of Putin.
It has not been an uncommon theme in Russia for the elite (and before them the streltsy) to rid Russia of influential people. Peter the great was fearful of the streltsy from the time he witnessed them massacre his uncle and others when he was a child, the elite killed Rasputin etc etc. Prigozhin might actually consider himself as doing a duty for the people of Russia (who LOVE a strong man).
He more likely though is making a serious power play. Moscow has started fortifying itself for an assault, an arrest warrant has been issued for Prigozhin and it is hard to see this ending in any other way than the death of Prigozhin or a civil war of sorts.
What it means for the war in Ukraine is also interesting. If Prigozhin does continue his march on Moscow, you would think that they would need to pull back fire power to address this issue, this could create a real opportunity for Ukraine's counter offense.
Another option (though an unlikely one), is that this is a ruse to sucker Ukraine into overextending, but the US and Ukraine will have visuals on approximately how many troops have left Ukraine and crossed over into Russia.
I know inside Russia they are advising people to stay in their homes and they interrupted normal broadcasting to post urgent messages to citizens.
I don't want Putin to take over Ukraine, but I REALLY don't want Prigozhin to take over Moscow. It is still early in the morning in Russia (Moscow is 7 hours behind us, so 6:30 am), the next 12 hours will tell a lot more about the situation
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Play the most anti-social football in the AFL
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Play the most anti-social football in the AFL