AFL Rd 12 Post Game Passing Carlton vs Melbourne

[kruddler]

You've misjudged me. ;D
I don't think we can make it.
I don't think we can make it even with the ambitious12.5 wins

Minimum 12 wins required this year. With our .5 win, it means we'll need 12.5 wins as you suggest as 11.5 won't be good enough.
So that means we need 8 from our last 11 to be in with a shot.
We play Pies, Dees, Freo (away) which are all losses which means we need to beat everyone else just to make it.
We should get 5 wins pretty easily .(GCx2, GWS, WC, HAW)
Its the remaining 3 games where we will most likely fall down (Ess, StK, PA (here))

But, hey, if we can make it from there, we will be on one hell of a run and there'd be no doubt why you couldn't continue that deep into finals ala Dogs of 2016.