03-15-2023, 02:37 AM
The current theory is that we have t minus 5 years for China to make a meaningful move against Taiwan before that action will yield ridiculously bad results, or the importance of Taiwan to vanish (its all about a patented chip that is only produced there).
The USA is attempting to build a factory capable of producing this particular chip, but is about 5 years away of being able to replicate the importance of Taiwan. Until then, they are a single point of failure and it will make the global chip shortage look like a walk in the park, if anything happens before then.
What does this mean for us? Well, it depends. Taiwan and the south china sea, is more easily defended whilst Taiwan is independent because there are two chokepoints that we can currently keep the Chinese Navy in and stop them from reaching out. This is why the uproar occurred about ports in the Pacific and China owning them because they were effectively capable of launching military operations from outside this choke point.
We are truly on the precipice of something happening if the rumours are to be believed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p6sCsOdqXQw
Who knows for sure. Interesting time to be alive. We have had the technological revolution since 1997 (when you think how far technology has grown, the fact we now fly around the world frequently, satellites, computers, mobiles etc, it really did all change then), 9/11, the middle eastern conflicts (Syria, Lybia), the crimean annexation, a pandemic, a couple of GFC's and now it appears we are staring at world war 3 not far away.
FFS, you think we could have at least pinched a flag in that time (I thought Id end up on a comedic note at least).
The USA is attempting to build a factory capable of producing this particular chip, but is about 5 years away of being able to replicate the importance of Taiwan. Until then, they are a single point of failure and it will make the global chip shortage look like a walk in the park, if anything happens before then.
What does this mean for us? Well, it depends. Taiwan and the south china sea, is more easily defended whilst Taiwan is independent because there are two chokepoints that we can currently keep the Chinese Navy in and stop them from reaching out. This is why the uproar occurred about ports in the Pacific and China owning them because they were effectively capable of launching military operations from outside this choke point.
We are truly on the precipice of something happening if the rumours are to be believed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p6sCsOdqXQw
Who knows for sure. Interesting time to be alive. We have had the technological revolution since 1997 (when you think how far technology has grown, the fact we now fly around the world frequently, satellites, computers, mobiles etc, it really did all change then), 9/11, the middle eastern conflicts (Syria, Lybia), the crimean annexation, a pandemic, a couple of GFC's and now it appears we are staring at world war 3 not far away.
FFS, you think we could have at least pinched a flag in that time (I thought Id end up on a comedic note at least).
"everything you know is wrong"
Paul Hewson
Paul Hewson