(01-27-2023, 01:08 AM)madbluboy date Wrote:Russia isn't backing down. They will nuke before they lose.Russia and Russian's pride themselves on being strategic managers, that is why chess is so popular in the soviet block.
If Russia is pressed it will realise the way to end this current battle is to concede enabling them to live to fight another day, which they can do by knocking over the King! If the King is stupid enough to think his followers naivé then he'll be sacrificed to end the conflict.
I greatly doubt anybody in modern politics, with even a miniscule outlook beyond the next 5 minutes or so, would be stupid enough to be the first to press the nuclear button, doing so is a license to let your enemies make you the next Japan! The bigger issue is that a nuclear weapon might fall into the hands of a terrorist as opposed to a state, but even so a terrorist isn't going to get their hands on multiple warheads and be able to store and maintain them as viable for any length of time. The half-life of the fissile material guarantees a device becomes redundant within a few years, at which time they are more dirty bomb than destructive. It's called critical mass for a reason, and it is very critical to be at just the right mass to detonate efficiently, just a few tens of grams too much or two little and the yield falls massively.
"Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck ....... Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck"

