07-11-2022, 02:29 AM
(07-10-2022, 06:14 PM)rocky link Wrote:[quote author=Inboltswetrust on June 17, 2022, 10:03:20 am]2 more to go.[/quote]
My final comment will piss people off, but i am happy to revisit and requote at the end of the year for those who are going to abuse me now. Here it is: "We will not make finals in 2022" after losing this pathetic game to Richmond. I'm serious. We need 4 more wins. Where are they coming from ? Maybe WC is one. Maybe. Adelaide? Good luck with that on their ground. Rest of them... doubtful. We had an easy draw and bathed in the glory.
Yep, after the Geelong game we have Adelaide and the Giants. Win those and we’re finals bound. Even just 1 more win might see us through if we protect our percentage.
St Kilda is 2 games behind us while WB, PA & GC are 3 games behind with only 6 games to go. We have a better percentage than all of them, so you can add another game to our lead. (Yes, it’s always possible that 100 point wins or losses might change that, but banking on bridging the percentage gap is usually wishful thinking as it would be if we dreamed of catching up with Brisbane’s percentage).
Let’s give us just 1 more win for the year but assume our percentage will stay above the 4 chasers. Then St Kilda would need to win 4 of its remaining 6 while WB, PA & GC would need to win 5 of their upcoming games to get ahead of us. They may all fall short as they face top 8 sides or each other:
StK: Dogs, Cats, Lions, Swans (bearing in mind they’ve won only 1 out of their last 5, being last week’s debacle?)
WB: Saints, Dees, Cats, Freo
PA: Dees, Cats, Pies, Tigers
GC: Bombers, Lions, Cats.
There’s a fair chance those 4 teams will find it hard to gain traction.