Election 2022 (Poll added)

[Lods]

Dutton seems the likely leader but that would be a huge mistake.
It's to the more moderate side the Liberals must move.
There's more votes there than recapturing the One-nation /UAP vote.
The Teal independents are ineffective because they won't be in a position to influence decisions.

The Albanese government will be a left /leaning government.
One itching to implement some significant reforms.
That may leave space for the Libs to move into.

Palmer...needs to stop wasting his money.
Hanson...no longer a factor.
These votes will come back to the conservatives anyway.

For Labor's side.
A big opportunity to make some significant changes...but they face some difficult times, not necessarily in their control.
If they can weather that storm they may be looking at 2 or 3 terms.

Will the move to independents continue?
I actually doubt it.
If Labor are a successful government they'll introduce a lot of the reforms that will remove the independents relevance.
If they're not those independent votes will switch back to the coalition.