05-08-2022, 11:52 AM
Remember that these were the wins obtained by team that filled the 8th spot in the finals after 22 games (leaving aside 2020 which had a reduced number of games):
The 13 win threshold was a bit of an anomaly as the bottom 4 were really bad (from Brisbane with 5 wins to Carlton with a measly 2 wins). So we really need 11 or 12 wins to make the 8. That means we only have to win 5 or 6 out of the remaining 14 games.
It's still possible, of course, to crap out. IIRC, Richmond failed to make the 8 after winning 6 of the 1st 8 games, just like us. But that's pretty unlikely.
- 2021: 11 wins
- 2019: 12 wins
- 2018: 13 wins
- 2017: 12 wins & percentage, 105.7%
- 2016: 12 wins & percentage, 105.2%
The 13 win threshold was a bit of an anomaly as the bottom 4 were really bad (from Brisbane with 5 wins to Carlton with a measly 2 wins). So we really need 11 or 12 wins to make the 8. That means we only have to win 5 or 6 out of the remaining 14 games.
It's still possible, of course, to crap out. IIRC, Richmond failed to make the 8 after winning 6 of the 1st 8 games, just like us. But that's pretty unlikely.