01-25-2022, 12:07 AM
I think the Russians will probably do something in Ukraine.
It might be a partial incursion into areas of Ukraine that have strong Russian ties and sympathies.
or
it could take the form of a pro-Russian coup who then invite the Russian forces into the country to help with order.
What would be the response from Europe...a lot of bluster.
Several European countries, like Germany, have a strong reliance on Russian gas supplies.
The extent of Russian expansion and re-consolidation to something like the old USSR would probably be limited to immediately adjacent countries...Belarus, Ukraine...and the 'stans' to the south.
The further west, the more unlikely that those old Soviet era countries would wish a return to Russian influence.
I suspect if the Chinese started some shenanigans the US focus would switch to South-East Asia pretty quickly.
It might be a partial incursion into areas of Ukraine that have strong Russian ties and sympathies.
or
it could take the form of a pro-Russian coup who then invite the Russian forces into the country to help with order.
What would be the response from Europe...a lot of bluster.
Several European countries, like Germany, have a strong reliance on Russian gas supplies.
The extent of Russian expansion and re-consolidation to something like the old USSR would probably be limited to immediately adjacent countries...Belarus, Ukraine...and the 'stans' to the south.
The further west, the more unlikely that those old Soviet era countries would wish a return to Russian influence.
I suspect if the Chinese started some shenanigans the US focus would switch to South-East Asia pretty quickly.