CV and mad panic behaviour

[Thryleon]

There is a point that I find difficult to understand.

Had we not vaccinated, would the pandemic look any different?

Its really difficult to quantify (and I don't think anyone really wants to find out because that cat is out of the bag once its out and there is no changing it). 

Thing is, we should see a disproportionate number of cases, and excess deaths in regions where vaccination rates are low.

I.e.  There is a region of India, called Utter Pradesh.  They have registered few cases, and I would wager, have been able to vaccinate fewer rather than more in a population of over 200 million people.  Their numbers dont look ridiculous, and Id wager their access to health care slim.

For data's sake.

Their population: 

Population as of 2021 according to this page: https://www.indiaonlinepages.com/populat...ation.html

They have counted:  35.9 million cases, and 484k covid deaths.

They have vaccinated, 9.37b total doses, so have 3.92 billion fully vaccinated.  50% of their population.

You can spin these numbers how you like, and possibly support a variety of outcomes.  One thing I can state, is that they likely have population not counted, that similarly cant test positive, when you deal with such a logistical nightmare (look whats happening to our ability to count cases reliably in a city with 6 million people at a relatively small number of cases per day).

Irrespective of how you count this, should there not be a remarkably high number of excess deaths in those sorts of populations?  Vaccination rate is fairly low, so you would estimate the ability to protect in such a large population would be tricky, and their ability to distance, mask wear, do all the hand washing would be negligible too.

It's the sort of thing that never really rates a mention, and I understand why, its of no great comparison to us here in the western world, with big Australian backyards and not so much poverty.