(12-12-2021, 10:59 PM)Lods date Wrote:The fact that the majority of eligible folks in the country are now double vaccinated means that most of the ongoing transmission will come from vaccinated folks.[member=906]Lods[/member] That might not be correct, viral load and shedding determines how infectious someone might be, while there may be more vaccinated people roaming around it still appears that they shed less virus, have lower viral loads and remain less likely to transmit by about an order of magnitude. Based on uptake that probably means if you get Sars-CoV-2 it's still more likely you get it from someone unvaccinated.
It's not a simple situation to evaluate, the math is serious complicated, too much of the media coverage talks like getting infected is easy like getting fur off you from contact with a cat or dog. If you pass or brush against infected people they aren't all putting you at the same level of risk, and that level of risk is non-linear.
There remains a risk that vaccinated or unvaccinated could become super-spreaders, but it's wrong to assume all is equal, the chance of a vaccinated person becoming a super-spreader is very very low, several orders of magnitude lower.
Finally, being vaccinated is a clear indicator of willingness to comply with health directives, social distancing, mask wearing in hazard zones, getting tested if unwell. It makes a difference and all feeds back into the math.
"Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck ....... Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck"

