CV and mad panic behaviour

[madbluboy]

[member=26]madbluboy[/member]‍ we have to assume protestors won't have themselves tested like the general public, so seven is a lot!

That is probably seven seriously ill, not seven mildly ill or asymptomatic!

So then you extrapolate in the other direction to usual, if serious illness remains at about 15% of cases that means there is about another 46 infected circulating!

At R[sub]0[/sub] = 8.5 they can become more than 3300 in just two cycles of infection!
46 x 8.5 x 8.5 = ~3323 the approximate formula is xR[sub]0[/sub][sup]n[/sup] where [sup]n[/sup] is the number of cycles and x is the starting case count.

You don't have to and shouldn't assume anything.