08-04-2021, 12:00 AM
(08-02-2021, 01:41 AM)flyboy77 link Wrote:We need to win 3 of 3.
Freo have Brisbane in Perth, Eagles then St Kilda here (docklands). If they win all 3, they're in....but they're flaky. So expect one loss.
WCE have Dees in Perth, Dockers then Brsbane (possibly up there, otherwise here?) might win zero, might win 2. Win 2, they're in.
Saints have Syvegas here, Cats in Geelong, then Freo. Two wins at best.
Bombers have Bulldogs, Suns (up there possibly), Pies at the G. Two wins at best.
Tigers have North, Giants, Hawthorn - win all three and we win all three, they pip us most likely on %.
Totally agree with all of that. I reckon if we win all 3 we're still only about a 50% chance of making finals at best.
However, this season all of those mid-tier teams (like Carlton) have been so up and down that it is impossible to predict what will happen next. None of them are all that likely to go on a 3-0 run of wins - and certainly not Freo , WC or Rich - but who knows - we may as well have a crack.