(07-07-2021, 02:47 PM)ElwoodBlues1 date Wrote:Delta variant spreads quicker the first data in a study from the UK is showing the mortality rate lower only 0.3 and the symptoms less severe and more in line with a bad cold.That's not really true, the Delta R[sub]0[/sub] is close to 7.0, while the normal COVID-19 R[sub]0[/sub] is 2.5, these are the base of an exponent n that represents infection cycles, so you know the even if the lethality of Delta is 100x less it would be still equal or more deadly because of the huge number of more people it infects!
R[sub]0[/sub][sup]n[/sup] if n = 2, then 2.5[sup]2[/sup] = 6.25, the infection grows over six cycles 2.5[sup]6[/sup] approximately as 2.5, 6, 15, 39, 97, 244
R[sub]0[/sub][sup]n[/sup] if n = 2, then 7[sup]2[/sup] = 49, the infection grows over six cycles 7.0[sup]6[/sup] approximately as 7, 49, 343, 2401, 16807, 117649
The report you reference is really a sly and cynical use of math, sly because reporting a death rate in the absence of a scale is deceptive, cynical because it assumes the listener has no concept of math, exponents and exponential growth, so by reporting small numbers they hope to persuade people for political purposes.
"Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck ....... Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck"

