06-10-2021, 11:45 PM
(06-10-2021, 10:15 PM)LP link Wrote:The politics of fear, humans are so so bad at understanding risk, but for millions of years that has probably served our ancestors well so it persists in evolution! Our "common sense" is hyper tuned for a false positive on risk!
Our lockdowns are the perfect example of misunderstanding risk.
The numbers game we look at is very one sided approach without equating it to risk. From this recent lockdown we have 2 vaccinated people who are asymptomatic admitted from a aged care setting. All the others are either mildly symptomatic or asymptomatic too with 0 hospital admission from the spread requiring care.
We just had 2 weeks of lockdown to stop the spread.
A basic risk analysis analysing the data of positive vs exposure sites vs outcome shows the lockdowns might be a bridge too far and there might be better ways to manage the pandemic without turning life off.
Those willing to sacrifice freedom for safety deserve neither freedom nor safety.
"everything you know is wrong"
Paul Hewson
Paul Hewson

