CV and mad panic behaviour

[LP]

A few simple graphs - nothing to see here. Carry on

Credibility is lost @Flyboy77 the moment those pseudo reports start quoting worthless VAERS data.

More and more people now know that like the UK Yellow Card system VAERS is a system of voluntary reporting, anybody can file a report even it seems the dead, insane or a cadre of anti-vaxxers!

Quoting VAERS and using it's data as the basis for an argument is like asking an anti-vaxxer for an unbiased opinion on hypodermics! ;D

It's interesting to to do some research on what asymptomatic and super spreader events really mean, the area of branching maths covers this network phenomenon and it's important to note that the worst case comes from moderate levels of infectivity and transmission. It seems to suggest that at either end of the extreme, very low or very high transmission will result in a disease that dies out, and it relates to the timing of infection. This seems to be common sense, a patient has to be infectious enough to transmit but not so infectious that they are detected very quickly before they can move too far. With adults and children the variation in shedding virus can be significant, several orders of magnitude with the worst being 1,000,000x more shedding than the least. It truly seems the worst case is the moderately infectious spreader who escapes scrutiny for an extended period and continues to move through society.