CV and mad panic behaviour

[Thryleon]

We've locked up a state for the most virulent and infectious disease that has spread to 70 odd people in over 400 locations over the period of 3 weeks.

Whilst I am not in favour of "let her rip" the risk analyst in me is looking at this and wondering what the cost benefit analysis looks like.

Of course, I cant forecast what the alternative looks like, but if the modelling that has been done is done with the initial premise that x% of cases end up in ICU, and that data has changed, perhaps the risk profile has also changed to a point, where perhaps the modelling should be looked at over and over again to ensure the risk profile is still correct.