CV and mad panic behaviour

[Thryleon]

No it's not flawed [member=105]Thryleon[/member] , it's math, it's the human part of the analysis, the "common sense" that is flawed. It ignores part of the risk.

Keep that thought you have of viewing all angles, because you've ignored a chunk.

When you are injured or die driving, you do not have to be the person at fault, about 50% of cases aren't the person speeding, aren't the person risk taking, they are killed by the speeding risk taker. You don't have to be breaking the law, you can be driving and fall asleep, have a heart attack or stroke, and kill yourself and multiple others, or the person coming the other way has a heart attack, is drunk or has a stroke, how careful "you are" is somewhat irrelevant. You can be a pedestrian and be killed by a "not at fault" driver, that is why kilometre 1 is the same as kilometre 1000.

This is made famous in the movie A Beautiful Mind, the mathematical concepts of John Nash, game theory,"On May 23, 2015, Nash and his wife Alicia died in a car crash while riding in a taxi on the New Jersey Turnpike" they did nothing wrong!

Interestingly, it could be argued that speeding risk taker is analogous to the COVID vaccine denier!

A huge portion of 780 Million vaccine doses is not "flaky data", no matter how you want to paint it!

Math assumes all situations are equal.  They aren't.

Its not perfect.  The humans performing the math is where the flaws come from lp.  Not the common sense.  The modelling is imperfect even of its the best modelling we've got and any statistician knows this.

Eddie betts didn't trouble the stats men.  He had a top game for a small forward on the weekend that had minimal possessions.

The stats say otherwise.

Speaking of stats, initially the calculations regarding covid assumed all positive cases go to icu.  Look how that modelling turned out.