(04-07-2021, 03:51 AM)Thryleon date Wrote:I always see this car argument, but here is the kicker.It's not what your common sense thinks it is either, you need to understand The Monty Hall problem to understand why common sense fails.
Not everyone drives the same. Not everyone drives as far or for as long.
The stats are always fudged.
Outliers are considered outliers until they aren't outliers anymore.
Its not as simple as anyone makes out. There's lies, dammed lies, and then statistics is how the saying goes.
The risk isn't accumulative in a relative framework, whether you drive 1 kilometre or 1000 the chance or dying in kilometre 1 is the same as the chance of dying in kilometre 1000. And the risk in kilometre 1001 is the same as the risk in any of the previous 1000 kilometres.
Secondly, and very very importantly, when you take the vaccine jab you aren't increasing risk, you are reducing risk.
"Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck ....... Ruck, ruck, ruck, ruck"

