04-02-2021, 07:44 PM
(04-02-2021, 12:06 PM)townsendcalling link Wrote:Why are we favourites for this one?? $1.48 vs $2.67??
Not sure but it might be due to exposed form of our teams and our opposition. The pies are turning out to be a tough opponent this year, Richmond are the reigning premiers and we were in both of those matches until about half way into the final quarter.
Freo are missing a few star players to injury, they have had a 5 goal loss to Melbourne here in round one, back to Perth for round 2 against gws who look a spent force, and now fly back to Melbourne for round 3. On travel alone we get a slight advantage. Minus fyfe, walters, Logue, lobb, hill and Hamling theyre without a fair chunk of their walk up starts in each line.
A true sign we have to take the next step is that we shouldn't be going in heavy favourites if they were at full strength but really, they are a relative question mark so on exposed form and availability the betting odds are probably right to favour us.
Im no expert here but as people wager the odds shift too so I think its right that we are going in favourites and a bit of money must be coming our way to be much shorter.
"everything you know is wrong"
Paul Hewson
Paul Hewson

