CV and mad panic behaviour

[Thryleon]

Sorry to hear about your father [member=105]Thryleon[/member]‍, it's never easy and sometimes we just feel powerless.

The vaccine lottery is interesting, I think that is just a kind way of say they don't know what will be delivered. We can't ignore the media and social media impacts of those booking cancellations, even when they just pose a question it's not always asking in innocence!

On the Brazil charts, I notice the charts linked have a big disclaiming stating they do not include the effects of COVID beyond 2020. You would have to be a bit of a statistical wizard to detangle what is one effect from another. I gather the major influence here is the global aging population, which like the rest of the planet will be putting a cap on population. It's a huge problem coming for young children now, my actuary friend tells me in the mid 2100s there will be too many people who all grow old and frail together at the same time, and most of the world won't have the resources or income to look after them.

I noted that to, but here is where it gets really slippery.

1.  That chart wasnt posted to dispell anything.  Its step one in figuring out the real data (I dont have the time, effort or energy at the minute).  This chart has the information that should normally be the case.

2.  Then add the number of covid deaths reported, and you might end up with a statistical answer to how many additional deaths we should be seeing.

3.  I dont really know what to think, but there are rubbery figures around brazil officially regarding both cases and deaths because they reportedly are not able to accurately capture figures in the slums anyway.

It is all a bit too convenient with respect to getting the official numbers.

Numbers without context though are just numbers.