AFLW R7 - Carlton vs Fremantle @Ikon - Sun 1:10pm

[kruddler]

Thank you, K, for those insights.

Dare I come up with this cliche, but... in many respects this game against Freo is a final for us. Lose and it's curtains for season 2021, win and we're still in with a show...

I've done a bit of a ladder predictor type of thing to spell it out to everyone on what we need to do to make finals. Hopefully the format is able to be understood.

Carl - 12 points
Freo - loss *key game
GC - win
GWS - win
------
TOTAL - 20 points

WB - 16 points
NM - loss *key game
Ade - loss
Rich - win
------
TOTAL - 20 points (24 points if they beat NM)

Mel - 16 points
Ade - loss
Freo - loss *key game
Bris - loss
-------
TOTAL - 16 points

NM - 16 points
WB - win *key game
Bris - loss
Freo - loss *key game
-------
TOTAL - 20 points (16 points if they lose to WB

FREO - 20 points
Carl - win *key game
Mel - win *key game
NM - win *key game
------
Total - 32 points

Conclusion....
1. We want Freo to win against Melbourne, and NM. It helps us....even if we lose against them.
2. Melbourne are the most likely to miss out, possibly losing all 3 from here.
3. The WB/NM game is an important one. If dogs win and the other WB/NM games go to plan, it will come to down to %, NM clearly above us and Dogs. We could potentially rope in the dogs %. If NM beat dogs, % won't be an issue.
4. We need Adelaide and Brisbane to stay strong and beat these types of sides around us. Especially against the dees.

To sum it all up.....we should beat GC comfortably, and if we want to play finals, beating GWS should enable that. The match against Fremantle, will certainly help, but is not essential.

Hope all that makes sense.