CV and mad panic behaviour

[LP]

It's not just the verified case count that is an issue, the number of infections exceeds the number of detections by some ratio.

Locally I heard a expert on radio state they think in Australia we only detect about 23% of infections, I haven't heard what the baseline is globally, but apparently Australia is quite good because we've tested about 1/3 of the population. That means here real infections could be 3x or 4x the detection rate.

When the number of test per head of population increase the detections increase, like Denmark and Iceland, where they have tested a large portion of the population, 60% or 70%

Now think of Sweden, where the death are almost an order of magnitude higher than Australia, Sweden's case detections exceed Denmark or Iceland but Sweden's testing is less than 15%! :o

Of course it's complicated because not everyone lives in the same geospacial, geosocial or economic conditions.

A lot of people put the stock in the graphs, but the graphs lag real-time by about 7 to 14 days, again based on an average some regions are faster others slower.

Detections always lag behind infections, if detections rise regularly at all, then infections are already on the steeper growth curve!