CV and mad panic behaviour

[LP]

What "terrible situation" in the UK and Sweden?
Positive tests in a low prevalence population are more likely to be false positives than real positives, not to mention a positive test can also be a result of the person having had the virus up to a few months previously....

All that really matters is mortality and that's where fear mongers like you fall flat on their faces.

Cases, in isolation, mean jack.

Testing positive for COVID infection is not the same as testing positive to anti-bodies weeks or months later, that is a mashup of two different tests!

In any case regardless of the numbers tests being false positive is a good thing, the tests are deliberately designed that way it is not a conspiracy! Some might argue the Hippocratic oath requires it, which means it is better to tell someone they might be sick rather than telling them they aren't sick just before they die!

Technically official false positives are expressed as a fraction of all positives, not as a fraction of all tests. Some sources like to mangle the figures, whether you want to think that is accidental due to ignorance or deliberate is really a matter for the reader.

Reporting "The percentage of false positives from all positives" as "the percentage of false positives from all tests" is pretty misleading, they are two vastly different figures. In one case False positives from all tests might be 0.24%, while false positives from all positives might be 8%. Further complicating the reporting is the fact that multiple testing regimes are used, they do not have the same rate of false positive or sensitivity.

The current rate of change in positives for the UK and Sweden is disastrous for them, the derivative of the infection rate curve, dY/dX for the maths people. It's the change in the rate of infection growth. Things are looking bleak in the UK and Sweden, which is why both regions are now talking drastic action with restrictions even far exceeding Victoria's Stage 4!

Deaths lag infections by about 4 to 7 weeks, the shit is going to get real in those regions and the politicians know it which is why they are talking tough now.