09-14-2020, 02:32 AM
(09-14-2020, 01:49 AM)Shakin77 link Wrote:Yeah what makes it so disappointing is the variance from our good to our bad and seeing the good it makes the bad so harder to take.
Not excusing yesterday's result or the Hawks game, if you look at our reason holistically it's not that bad.
As supporters our expectation are high, but our season is pretty much where we are at.
If you look at the Bookies who have not emotional connection football sides other than to profit then our season reads like
Lost when favourite: (2) Hawks $1.72, Crows
Lost when not favourite: (7) Tigers $3.55, Demons $2.40, Saints $2.10, Power $2.70, Eagles $4.75, Magpies $1.98, Giants $2.85
Wins when favourite: (3) Kangaroos $1.48, Suns $1.56, Swans $1.56
Wins when not favourite: (4) Cats $5.00, Bombers $2.10, Bulldogs $2.50, Dockers $2.25
So looking at that we are +2 against the bookies.
Point being you can't just look at the two bad losses without looking at the Cats and Dogs wins. Sides that are clearly better than us.
Have a deeper look at "why" and don't be an emotional dribbler like Spanner and LL
Yesterday we were putrid. A side on the way up would have built on those two wins, put in the hard yards and moved up the ladder.
Unfortunately, in addition to problems between the ears, we have a poor list and players know they can dish up rubbish every week and not be dropped. We have had this problem for most of this century.
It just embeds complacency into the culture of the club. The problem becomes self-fulfilling as no A grader wants to buy into it.
Supporters in desperation look for one or two A graders to change our fortunes. It doesn't work. We broke Judd and the same is happening with Cripps.
Unless we change the culture we will drift along in the same fashion for the foreseeable future.