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Prediction: The Loss of the Year Coming
#87
(09-14-2020, 12:41 AM)cookie2 link Wrote:I have to admit to fighting off a case of complete disillusionment after yesterday's apalling performance.

Yeah what makes it so disappointing is the variance from our good to our bad and seeing the good it makes the bad so harder to take.

Not excusing yesterday's result or the Hawks game, if you look at our reason holistically it's not that bad.

As supporters our expectation are high, but our season is pretty much where we are at.

If you look at the Bookies who have not emotional connection football sides other than to profit then our season reads like

Lost when favourite: (2) Hawks $1.72, Crows
Lost when not favourite: (7) Tigers $3.55, Demons $2.40, Saints $2.10, Power $2.70, Eagles $4.75, Magpies $1.98, Giants $2.85
Wins when favourite: (3) Kangaroos $1.48, Suns $1.56, Swans $1.56
Wins when not favourite: (4) Cats $5.00, Bombers $2.10, Bulldogs $2.50, Dockers $2.25

So looking at that we are +2 against the bookies. 

Point being you can't just look at the two bad losses without looking at the Cats and Dogs wins.  Sides that are clearly better than us.

Have a deeper look at "why" and don't be an emotional dribbler like Spanner and LL
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Re: Prediction: The Loss of the Year Coming - by Shakin77 - 09-14-2020, 01:49 AM

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