CV and mad panic behaviour

[LP]

[member=153]LP[/member]....
So why is it typical for R0 to drop? Surely its a constant?

True, the R[sub]0[/sub] is effectively a constant for any one strain of virus, but it has to be measured first.

In the early stages the uncertainty displayed in the error bars on a scientific graph will be huge, it might be R[sub]0[/sub] = 3.0 ± 2.0, the uncertainty diminishes greatly once the sample size is big enough, when a lot of measuring has been completed! Now it might be R[sub]0[/sub] = 0.8 ± 0.2.

Also not to forget, SARS.CoV-2 today 27th August 2020 is not the same as SARS-CoV-2 three months back, there are more strains today, with some less virulent and some more virulent. Some old strains have vanished, other new ones have appeared. Many of the accumulated numbers do not differentiate.

If anybody wants a read, there is a very nice plain language PDF linked here, https://www.health.gov.au/sites/default/...tralia.pdf
A smaller clipping is attached below.