08-27-2020, 02:38 AM
(08-27-2020, 01:06 AM)flyboy77 link Wrote:Wrong in one critical aspect Thry. And I'll try and post the chart (a jpg)! Any hints?
Saying the numbers were 'out of control' is simply emotional rhetoric.
The actual (and modelled) effective reproduction rate (DHHS data) had already peaked and was heading south before even Stage 3 restrictions were reintroduced.
And, in fact, that number was comfortably below the 'magic' 1.0 mark (around 27 July) WELL BEFORE Stage 4 restrictions. Let alone allowing any lag time for 'effect'.
Fact. And essentially confirmed by third party modelling.
So, the only reason for doing it was political.
As to the efficacy of lockdowns and other NPIs - the latest study certainly makes one's eyebrows rise!
https://www.aier.org/article/lockdowns-a...-suggests/
No offense, FB77, but the AIER is not as unbiased or as objective as it proports... just another Libertarian organisation and very guilty of cherry picking data to fit/promote its agendas and advocacies. I believe that sticking to data and opinion from medical experts remains the path to take.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

