Australian Open 2020

[LP]

LP, this relates to the 2016 election:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-10-28/w...ie/7825106

Key points are that the One Nation vote was higher in electorates with more Australian-born voters, those with greater disadvantage and those with fewer tertiary graduates.  It was lower in electorates with more Indigenous voters and marginally lower in electorates with more Muslim voters. 

Thanks DJC, I think that's a fairly cursory voter analysis of the general electorates, importantly a generalization and that is exposed but the summary at the very bottom of the article. I'd be hypocritical if I didn't point out this, as it appears to be correlation not cause.

The report I'd read previously was prepared based on post election exit polling, who you voted for, what's your religion, sexuality, ethnicity, age, nationality. If I find it I'll post a copy. As I understood the exit poll it was the voting from "The children of immigrants", if you like 2nd generation Australian's, who were the primary supporters of Hanson. The reason I gave it some weight at the time was because it was an analysis of why the major parties lost certain seats despite what seemed to be a joint effort to eliminate minor parties. The exposed trend was alarming, because it portends an uncomfortable shift in Australian Politics in years to come.

I realise there are some conflicts in discussing this. Just as one analysis might generally categorize one group as immigrants and the other report the same people as born in Australia, they are all Australians. So in that regard Thry's generalization becomes reasonable if you assume ultrabroad categories, but of course Thry originally was very specifically discussing the Balkans.

A problem I have is how broad or selective the boundaries appear to be, and how those boundary definitions seem to be plastic pending a desired political position.

Finding the root cause seems to be almost impossible, primarily due to the complexity of social influences. It's certainly not something we can do in a few hundred or thousand words here, even in voluminous philosophical tomes there are unresolved contradictions.