09-24-2018, 01:50 AM
(This post was last modified: 09-29-2018, 12:58 AM by crashlander.)
The GF is coming up. but the noise over possible trades has dropped off. Not a lot to report, but.... 
Update #3 24/09/2018
Senior List:
Still in the 'Phony War' Period. Next week is the Draft Combine. More action soon, but not much expected until after the GF.
2018 List: 40 players Present AFL Maximum
Confirmed Delistings:
[1] Aaron Mullett – contract not renewed
[2] Cam O’Shea – contract not renewed.
Confirmed Additions:
Nobody yet. Lots of noise and lots of names, but nothing concrete.
The most likely, at this point is Alex Fasolo from Collingwood. Not really what I want, but that deal appears done. He will be a Free Agent, so at least he won't cost us anything. Mitch McGovern is looking more likely than not, although the probability of getting a decent deal with ADELAIDE looks remote. I expect us to pay overs, if it works out. Setterfield is still in Limbo. Shiel is looking less likely to leave, for all the baying of the dogs. Menzel was brought up: he is looking extremely improbable (and I am not disappointed). Brodie: that one has gone very quiet. Not sure what is going to happen there.
I am sure I have missed some: everybody seems to be linked to us at the moment, whether we really need them or not.
Potential Delistings, Retirements or Out-trades:
[1] Matthew Kreuzer – No word about how he is going. A potential retirement.
[2] Sam Kerridge – Kerridge has not been offered a contract at this time. It has been suggested that the club may rookie him, depending on how the trades go.
[3] Jarrod Garlett – No mention of Garlett in dispatches since he went on for surgery. Not sure what is going to happen here. I think he has a contract, but paying it out is not impossible if he isn't headed in our direction.
[5] Matthew Lobbe – Likely to remain with the cloud over Kreuzer, but he really isn't a long term option unless out midfield mutates into something unbeatable.
[6] Nick Graham – Puss has not been offered a contract for 2019 yet, and has been told his fate depends on the trade period. To be honest, I think Puss has the highest probability of being elsewhere in 2019 of all of the potential list changes.
[7] Andrew Phillips – Looks unlikely at the moment, but is not impossible.
[8] Levi Casboult – Levi’s name has been conspicuous by its absence in trade talks. I think he will stay, but he could be a very interesting trade option.
[9] Matthew Wright – like Kerridge and Graham, his contract talks have been suspended until after the trades. He may be demoted to the rookie list.
[10] Jed Lamb – I thought he would be unlikely to be under pressure with the way he finished the season, but his contract talks have also been put off until after the trades. He could be a rookie yet.
This could get us 12 changes in the senior list, although I doubt that will happen. Simpson, Thomas and Rowe have a new contract for 2019.
Potential Additions:
[1] Ben Silvagni – looking more likely as a rookie pick at this point. We have problems: we cannot bring in more guys than go out. I think Ben will be our last live pick, but ...
Other names on the trade list include Shiel (GWS), Dunstan (St.K), Dahlhaus (WB), McGovern (Ad), Setterfield (GWS) and more!
Rookie List:
Rookie players are able to play senior footy pretty much straight away, and conditions continue to change. However, the rookie list will remain in 2019.
Confirmed Departures:
[1] Matt Shaw – not offered a new contract
[2] Jesse Glass-McCasker – not offered a new contract and looking less likely to be offered a rookie spot with 4 senior potentially becoming rookies.
[3] Alex Silvagni – Retired. I haven't heard anything of his intentions for 2019 yet.
Confirmed Additions:
Nobody at this point. But Lamb, Wright, Kerridge and Graham are now in the picture.
Possible further Departures:
[1] Kym LeBois – Looking more probable as the trades go on. Possible delisting. To be honest, I am amazed he has survived this far.
Cat B Rookies:
[1] Cillian McDaid
Definitely remaining for 2019.
But we can recruit more Cat B rookies, just not from Ireland.
Potential Additions:
[1] Liam Hickmott – looking a bit more likely as he won the B&F for Colts in WA.
[2] Will Hickmott - I am expected Will to be picked up, even with his less than stellar Carnival.
[3] Ethan Penrith – looking less likely now with the senior players in the picture. If he could kick, he would be a certain inclusion.
[4] Sam Fisher – I'd like to see Fisher get a go, but for a team on the bottom, we have remarkably few list changes in sight.
[5] Jesse Palmer – looking less likely now, with McGovern and Fasolo to compete with.
Conclusion:
I expect changes. We cannot trade everybody in without some players going out. We will have pick #1, unless we trade it and pick #11 (Priority Pick). We then have 2 second rounders, then a 4th rounder. With the top echelon of this draft cohort looking very good, I simply cannot see us trading our way out of it. There is too much talent on offer. But the number of changes appear to be more significant than was expected not that long ago.
Update #3 24/09/2018
Senior List:
Still in the 'Phony War' Period. Next week is the Draft Combine. More action soon, but not much expected until after the GF.
2018 List: 40 players Present AFL Maximum
Confirmed Delistings:
[1] Aaron Mullett – contract not renewed
[2] Cam O’Shea – contract not renewed.
Confirmed Additions:
Nobody yet. Lots of noise and lots of names, but nothing concrete.
The most likely, at this point is Alex Fasolo from Collingwood. Not really what I want, but that deal appears done. He will be a Free Agent, so at least he won't cost us anything. Mitch McGovern is looking more likely than not, although the probability of getting a decent deal with ADELAIDE looks remote. I expect us to pay overs, if it works out. Setterfield is still in Limbo. Shiel is looking less likely to leave, for all the baying of the dogs. Menzel was brought up: he is looking extremely improbable (and I am not disappointed). Brodie: that one has gone very quiet. Not sure what is going to happen there.
I am sure I have missed some: everybody seems to be linked to us at the moment, whether we really need them or not.
Potential Delistings, Retirements or Out-trades:
[1] Matthew Kreuzer – No word about how he is going. A potential retirement.
[2] Sam Kerridge – Kerridge has not been offered a contract at this time. It has been suggested that the club may rookie him, depending on how the trades go.
[3] Jarrod Garlett – No mention of Garlett in dispatches since he went on for surgery. Not sure what is going to happen here. I think he has a contract, but paying it out is not impossible if he isn't headed in our direction.
[5] Matthew Lobbe – Likely to remain with the cloud over Kreuzer, but he really isn't a long term option unless out midfield mutates into something unbeatable.
[6] Nick Graham – Puss has not been offered a contract for 2019 yet, and has been told his fate depends on the trade period. To be honest, I think Puss has the highest probability of being elsewhere in 2019 of all of the potential list changes.
[7] Andrew Phillips – Looks unlikely at the moment, but is not impossible.
[8] Levi Casboult – Levi’s name has been conspicuous by its absence in trade talks. I think he will stay, but he could be a very interesting trade option.
[9] Matthew Wright – like Kerridge and Graham, his contract talks have been suspended until after the trades. He may be demoted to the rookie list.
[10] Jed Lamb – I thought he would be unlikely to be under pressure with the way he finished the season, but his contract talks have also been put off until after the trades. He could be a rookie yet.
This could get us 12 changes in the senior list, although I doubt that will happen. Simpson, Thomas and Rowe have a new contract for 2019.
Potential Additions:
[1] Ben Silvagni – looking more likely as a rookie pick at this point. We have problems: we cannot bring in more guys than go out. I think Ben will be our last live pick, but ...
Other names on the trade list include Shiel (GWS), Dunstan (St.K), Dahlhaus (WB), McGovern (Ad), Setterfield (GWS) and more!
Rookie List:
Rookie players are able to play senior footy pretty much straight away, and conditions continue to change. However, the rookie list will remain in 2019.
Confirmed Departures:
[1] Matt Shaw – not offered a new contract
[2] Jesse Glass-McCasker – not offered a new contract and looking less likely to be offered a rookie spot with 4 senior potentially becoming rookies.
[3] Alex Silvagni – Retired. I haven't heard anything of his intentions for 2019 yet.
Confirmed Additions:
Nobody at this point. But Lamb, Wright, Kerridge and Graham are now in the picture.
Possible further Departures:
[1] Kym LeBois – Looking more probable as the trades go on. Possible delisting. To be honest, I am amazed he has survived this far.
Cat B Rookies:
[1] Cillian McDaid
Definitely remaining for 2019.
But we can recruit more Cat B rookies, just not from Ireland.
Potential Additions:
[1] Liam Hickmott – looking a bit more likely as he won the B&F for Colts in WA.
[2] Will Hickmott - I am expected Will to be picked up, even with his less than stellar Carnival.
[3] Ethan Penrith – looking less likely now with the senior players in the picture. If he could kick, he would be a certain inclusion.
[4] Sam Fisher – I'd like to see Fisher get a go, but for a team on the bottom, we have remarkably few list changes in sight.
[5] Jesse Palmer – looking less likely now, with McGovern and Fasolo to compete with.
Conclusion:
I expect changes. We cannot trade everybody in without some players going out. We will have pick #1, unless we trade it and pick #11 (Priority Pick). We then have 2 second rounders, then a 4th rounder. With the top echelon of this draft cohort looking very good, I simply cannot see us trading our way out of it. There is too much talent on offer. But the number of changes appear to be more significant than was expected not that long ago.
Live Long and Prosper!