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Rd 18: Pre Game Premonitions: Carlton vs Brisbane
#30
(07-19-2017, 09:05 AM)kruddler link Wrote:Higher % safe option.

If you break it down, you are more likely to have a goal kicked against you by going long down the line than sideways across goal. Not immediately, but overall.

How many kicks across goal occur before 1 misses like Wieterings? That might occur once out of 100 kicks. There is always a free man running sideways to kick to. It is a high % option that comes off more than any other kick.

Now the alternative, long down the boundary.
50-50 option at best.

What happens to the 50% chance that doesn't go our way, a lot of that comes back at us. If only 5% results in a shot on goal, it is still 5 times more likely to get a shot on goal than the across goal kick.

The higher % option is to maintain possession.

I'll agree to disagree...the more times you over possess the ball in the backline the more chance you have of turning it over IMO....


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Re: Rd 18: Pre Game Premonitions: Carlton vs Brisbane - by ElwoodBlues1 - 07-19-2017, 10:22 AM

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