AFL Rd 20 2023 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood

[madbluboy]

They have 2 losses and about the same percentage as we did in 1995. Most of their wins this year have been comprehensive.

[LoveNavy]

The one possible weakness in this comparison is that it's only July.....

Plenty of time for the wheels to come off yet.  Look at us, it only takes one or two bad weeks injury-wise for the clouds to start gathering. 
The one downside to having a full list to choose from is that when the injuries do come, you are having to select replacement players that haven't played senior footy for some time.

Fair call. Injuries can happen at any time. I'd add that the Pies had injuries earlier this year and have recovered completely. They also have depth affording lots of flexibility and opportunities to lighten loads.

[Gointocarlton]

Cripps Cerra Martin Pitto in
4 omitted not sure who

[rocky]

IN
Adam Cerra,
Caleb Marchbank,
Jack Martin,
Marc Pittonet,
Matthew Owies,
Patrick Cripps

OUT
Ed Curnow (Omitted),
Jack Silvagni (Injured),
Josh Honey (Omitted),
Lachlan Cowan (Omitted),
Lewis Young (Sub),
Paddy Dow (Omitted),
Sam Walsh (Injured)

[LoveNavy]

Out
Ed
Honey
*Cowan
*Dow
*Young

*Emergencies
*Fisher

[DJC]

IN
Adam Cerra,
Caleb Marchbank,
Jack Martin,
Marc Pittonet,
Matthew Owies,
Patrick Cripps

OUT
Ed Curnow (Omitted),
Jack Silvagni (Injured),
Josh Honey (Omitted),
Lachlan Cowan (Omitted),
Lewis Young (Sub),
Paddy Dow (Omitted),
Sam Walsh (Injured)

Looks like Kemp or McGovern will play forward.

[pinot]

Pretty good team under circumstances.

[ElwoodBlues1]

Looks like Kemp or McGovern will play forward.

Agree, might be McGovern imho, we might get a bit stretched for size down back if they play McStay, Cox and Mihocek together so Marchbank might be in for that reason.......Id also expect Ginnivan to be the replacement for Hill rather than Markov who has nominally come into the selected 22.

[LoveNavy]

What’s the bet they play. This mob has a habit of saying the flu is ripping thru the place prior to playing a big game.

Funny thing is it seems to clear up real quick and they mostly all play.

Wouldn’t be surprised if they are just rotating players having a session off but use it as a tactic saying the club is fighting the flu.

Don’t trust the pr1cks

The only out is Bobby Hill.

[PaulP]

They have 2 losses and about the same percentage as we did in 1995. Most of their wins this year have been comprehensive.

I guess to an extent that's true. But in that mix are also 4 games won by less than a goal, three games won by about 2 goals, a 4 point loss and a 33 point loss. You can't argue with their W/L, but IMO you also can't argue with the luck aspect either. I'm not suggesting they're cr@p by any means, but they are more gettable than the hype would suggest. There's an article I was reading earlier today (for the life of me I can't find it now) that was quoting some very average numbers in some of their statistical indicators.