AFL Rd 12 2023 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne

[townsendcalling]

Word is Doc out, Dow into 22

[Lods]

Word is Doc out, Dow into 22

It's floating on a couple of facebook pages....treat it with care and wait for something official. They might be feeding off one another.

[Gointocarlton]

Word is Doc out, Dow into 22

Backs well and truly against the wall if true.

[ElwoodBlues1]

Backs well and truly against the wall if true.

Good Carlton teams would love it and respond accordingly......big stage, everything going against us and maligned players everywhere. This is where you find out who can play and fight harder.

[LoveNavy]

Interesting from fb. Unsure if accurate, but Dow's DE at 68 this year isn't what I expected based on the commentary.




AFL round 12: Melbourne v Carlton, latest scores, team news
Paddy Dow is expected to get a chance to prove himself on the big stage tonight when Carlton face Melbourne at the MCG. (Jay Clark Herald Sun)

Carlton fringe midfielder Paddy Dow is expected to be named as the Blues’ substitute for Friday night’s clash against Melbourne.

Dow, 23, was named as an emergency for the mist-win game but is expected to be named as the sub one hour before the bounce.

The ballwinner has been prolific in the VFL this year but was surprisingly overlooked when Carlton named its starting 22 to face the Demons at the MCG.

Carlton brought in five players for the game, including Lochie O’Brien and Zac Fisher, after the Blues were hard-hit by injury in the loss to Sydney Swans last weekend.

It is widely expected Dow, who has not played a game so far this season, will seek a fresh start at a new club at season’s end.

St Kilda is interested in adding Dow, as well as Carlton big man Tom De Koning and Port Adelaide defender Miles Bergman.

Dow was taken pick three in the 2017 national draft by former Carlton list boss Stephen Silvagni who has since taken over as Saints’ list chief.

PADDY DOW'S 2023 VFL SEASON
Games: 9

AVERAGES

Disposals: 31.7

Ranking points: 122

Disposal efficiency: 68.4%

Inside 50s: 6.2

Contested possessions: 15.7

Marks: 3.9

Clearances: 8

Score involvements: 7.6

Tackles: 4.6  (SB)

[Gointocarlton]

Good Carlton teams would love it and respond accordingly......big stage, everything going against us and maligned players everywhere. This is where you find out who can play and fight harder.

100% agree, I said it earlier, its grit we need. Old fashioned determination to show some fight and find a way.

[kruddler]

Interesting from fb. Unsure if accurate, but Dow's DE at 68 this year isn't what I expected based on the commentary.

DE% is one of the most skewed stats going around.

For a back kicking sideways all game under little to no pressure, they go at around 80-90%.
For an outside mid, you expect that to be 70-80%
For an inside mid, going at around 40% is plausible if majority of their contested possessions are in a pack under duress.

Of course the strength of the opposition, the weather and length of time played in any given position skews that dramatically....not to mention their handball to kick ratio. A lot easier to find a target with a handball.

The best judge of a persons ability to kick is to use your eyes.
Most people watching Dow can see that he fails to hit targets that most people should....including when he's in open space.

I guess we'll see soon enough if he's up to AFL standard......yet....tonight.

[DJC]

Dow is the sub apparently.

I hope he comes on in the last quarter and gets a few touches against a thoroughly demoralised and dispirited Demons team 

[Gointocarlton]

Dow is the sub apparently.

I hope he comes on in the last quarter and gets a few touches against a thoroughly demoralised and dispirited Demons team 

So Docs out there (anyone at the game)?

[Gointocarlton]

So Docs out there (anyone at the game)?

Confirmed by a friend at the ground, Doc is out there warming up.