Jim Park Analysis 2021

[crashlander]

I seem to have missed a game somewhere. Got to fix that up.

[crashlander]

I forgot to input the Essendon game. I'll do that later today.
Suffice to say that Walsh was BOG.

[crashlander]

Carlton vs Drug Cheats: a nice win.
Trends:
[1] The rating of 8.94, which is effectively a B, is the 2nd highest for the year. I’m not quite sure what that says, except that we haven’t been as good as we had hoped.

[2] We had 17 Voters for this game.

[3] We had 14 players worthy of a mention this round. This is the sort of number we were getting when we were winning games last year. In 2020 we were a very even side. That had a lot of potential in it, as we didn’t depend on a small number of players.

[4] We had 6 players who managed to get 100 votes or better. This is the best spread of top votes I can remember.

[5] Sam Walsh was the stand-out player, yet again. His form this year has been nothing short of brilliant.

Votes:
Walsh, Sam 452
Curnow, Edward 210
Saad, Adam 184
Weitering, Jacob 163
Cuningham, David 105
McKay, Harrison 100
Betts, Eddie 53
Owies, Matthew 45
Petrevski - Seton, Sam 13
Fogarty, Lachlan 5
Cripps, Patrick 3
Docherty, Sam 3
Pittonet, Marc 3
Cottrell, Matthew 3

Progressive Voting:
2265 - Walsh, Sam (0)
1162 - Weitering, Jacob (0)
963 - McKay, Harrison (0)
851 - Curnow, Edward (0)
762 - Saad, Adam (0)
684 - Jones, Liam (0)
526 - Cripps, Patrick (0)
301 - Docherty, Sam (0)
297 - Betts, Eddie (0)
275 - Fogarty, Lachlan (0)
186 - Gibbons, Michael (0)
157 - Petrevski - Seton, Sam (0)
149 - Plowman, Lachlan (0)
114 - Cuningham, David (0)
109 - Pittonet, Marc (0)
79 - Murphy, Marc (0)
78 - Newnes, Jack (0)
74 - Casboult, Levi (0)
73 - Silvagni, Jack (0)
72 - Cottrell, Matthew (0)
69 - Martin, Jack (0)
48 - Owies, Matthew (0)
34 - William, Zac (0)
26 - Fisher, Zac (0)
8 - McDonald, Oscar (0)

Sam Walsh has a massive 1100 vote lead at this point.

[crashlander]

Rd 9: Carlton vs Melbourne
I was disappointed at the time, but our result looks pretty good now. Melbourne are good this year.

Trends:
[1] The rating for this game was 7.51, just a little less than a C-. At the time I was very disappointed, and not a little angry, but our result holds up very well. Only Adelaide (!!!) have done better.

[2] This round we had 4 players get 100 or more votes. That is pretty good for a loss, but again appeared to be pretty even.

[3] We had 3 players who got votes from every voter, with another two that missed from 2 voters.

[4] We had 13 voters this round. Not far off normal for a loss and 3 better than for the same round last year.

[5] Sam Walsh managed his 5th BOG for the year. Docherty had his best result of the year (2nd). In fact, 9 out of the top 10 vote getters were our top vote getters this week.

[6] There were 16 players who got a mention, something we usually only get for a win.

Votes:
Walsh, Sam 292
Docherty, Sam 202
Cripps, Patrick 147
Curnow, Edward 133
McKay, Harrison 87
Saad, Adam 78
Betts, Eddie 58
Jones, Liam 43
Cottrell, Matthew 29
Fogarty, Lachlan 14
Stocker, Liam 12
Weitering, Jacob 9
Newman, Nicholas 9
William, Zac 6
Setterfield, Will 6
Murphy, Marc 3

Progressive Voting:
2557 - Walsh, Sam (0)
1170 - Weitering, Jacob (0)
1049 - McKay, Harrison (0)
984 - Curnow, Edward (0)
840 - Saad, Adam (0)
727 - Jones, Liam (0)
673 - Cripps, Patrick (0)
503 - Docherty, Sam (0)
354 - Betts, Eddie (0)
290 - Fogarty, Lachlan (0)
186 - Gibbons, Michael (0)
157 - Petrevski - Seton, Sam (0)
149 - Plowman, Lachlan (0)
114 - Cuningham, David (0)
109 - Pittonet, Marc (0)
100 - Cottrell, Matthew (0)
81 - Murphy, Marc (0)
78 - Newnes, Jack (0)
74 - Casboult, Levi (0)
73 - Silvagni, Jack (0)
69 - Martin, Jack (0)
48 - Owies, Matthew (0)
40 - William, Zac (0)
26 - Fisher, Zac (0)
12 - Stocker, Liam (0)
9 - Newman, Nicholas (0)
8 - McDonald, Oscar (0)
6 - Setterfield, Will (0)

Sam Walsh is almost 1400 votes ahead at this point. Those numbers are Judd-like.

[crashlander]

Carlton vs Hawthorn at the MCG.
The first time we've beaten them at the MCG in a long time. However, we were not convincing.

Trends:
[1] This week there was a distinct scarcity of voters. Normally for a win there are about ]17 voters. Normally for a loss, there are about 12. This was a significant win, but only 14 people bothered to vote. This is not the signs that we would like to see at all. Unfortunately, it was a measure of how underwhelming the game actually was.

[2] The rating was 8.62. almost a B-. We have performed that well this year in losses.

[3] One very positive trend on the day was that 4 players managed 100 or more votes this week. A very positive effort.

[4] Similarly, 17 players managed a mention. Both of those tend to occur only when we play particularly well.

[5] Walsh managed yet another BOG performance. For the 5th time this season.

[6] There were 3 players who got votes from every voter, with another two that were close to that.

Votes:
Walsh, Sam 363
Docherty, Sam 228
Curnow, Edward 191
Saad, Adam 129
Weitering, Jacob 74
William, Zac 68
Betts, Eddie 55
Cripps, Patrick 46
Silvagni, Jack 35
Pittonet, Marc 31
Stocker, Liam 18
Murphy, Marc 9
Newman, Nicholas 9
Jones, Liam 6
Plowman, Lachlan 6
Owies, Matthew 6
Cottrell, Matthew 3

Progressive Votes:
2920 - Walsh, Sam (0)
1244 - Weitering, Jacob (0)
1175 - Curnow, Edward (0)
1049 - McKay, Harrison (0)
969 - Saad, Adam (0)
733 - Jones, Liam (0)
731 - Docherty, Sam (0)
720 - Cripps, Patrick (0)
410 - Betts, Eddie (0)
290 - Fogarty, Lachlan (0)
186 - Gibbons, Michael (0)
157 - Petrevski - Seton, Sam (0)
156 - Plowman, Lachlan (0)
140 - Pittonet, Marc (0)
114 - Cuningham, David (0)
110 - Silvagni, Jack (0)
108 - William, Zac (0)
104 - Cottrell, Matthew (0)
100 - Murphy, Marc (0)
78 - Newnes, Jack (0)
74 - Casboult, Levi (0)
69 - Martin, Jack (0)
54 - Owies, Matthew (0)
34 - Stocker, Liam (0)
26 - Fisher, Zac (0)
18 - Newman, Nicholas (0)
8 - McDonald, Oscar (0)

Walsh had a 1600 lead.

[crashlander]

Carlton vs Sydney in Sydney
This could well be the performance we liked least for this season. It scared the voters off more than any performance of recent times. That includes when we were being thrashed a year or tow back.

Trends:
[1] As noted earlier, this game really scared the voters away. Only 9 people voted, compared to 16 for the same round last year and 12 to a ‘normal’ loss. More people were voting when we were being thrashed every second week!

[2] The rating, at 7.26 (D+) was nowhere near the worst for the year. But the voters were tired of our capitulating in the last quarter. The Obvious question is: are we as fit as we are supposed to be? The answer appears to be a ‘no’.

[3] 13 players managed a mention, but there were 3 performances that stood out. 13 players is not bad, but …

[4] 4 players managed 100 or more votes, which would have been good if others had been good. However, these 4 guys managed to get almost all of the votes.

[5] 3 players managed votes from all of the voters.

[6] Cripps managed his first BOG performance of the year. Walsh was 2nd. Walsh has been in our top 2 for 9 games so far.

Votes:
Cripps, Patrick 315
Walsh, Sam  230
McKay, Harrison  177
Weitering, Jacob 101
William, Zac  69
Curnow, Edward  48
Silvagni, Jack  40
Jones, Liam 36
Betts, Eddie  32 
Newman, Nicholas  12
Stocker, Liam 8
Docherty, Sam  4
Pittonet, Marc

Progressive Voting:
3150 - Walsh, Sam (0)
1345 - Weitering, Jacob (0)
1227 - McKay, Harrison (0)
1223 - Curnow, Edward (0)
1034 - Cripps, Patrick (0)
969 - Saad, Adam (0)
769 - Jones, Liam (0)
739 - Docherty, Sam (0)
442 - Betts, Eddie (0)
290 - Fogarty, Lachlan (0)
186 - Gibbons, Michael (0)
176 - William, Zac (0)
157 - Petrevski - Seton, Sam (0)
156 - Plowman, Lachlan (0)
151 - Silvagni, Jack (0)
144 - Pittonet, Marc (0)
114 - Cuningham, David (0)
104 - Cottrell, Matthew (0)
100 - Murphy, Marc (0)
78 - Newnes, Jack (0)
74 - Casboult, Levi (0)
69 - Martin, Jack (0)
54 - Owies, Matthew (0)
46 - Stocker, Liam (0)
35 - Newman, Nicholas (0)
26 - Fisher, Zac (0)
8 - McDonald, Oscar (0)
6 - Setterfield, Will (0)

[crashlander]

Carlton vs West Coast
Another disappointment. This year is littered with them.
However, the Weagles did beat Richmond the next round, so maybe it wasn't quite as bad as we thought. However, the loss did cause a Review into the entire Football Department.

Trends:
[1] There were 12 voters this round, an improvement over the last round, but not the sign of success. There were 16 votes for this round last year.

[2] The rating was a very topsy-turvy thing, but the disappointment was definite across the board. The overall rating was 6.36, which represents an E+! This is the 2nd lowest of the year.

[3] 15 players managed to get a mention, which would normally be an excellent sign. But not this week. It shows that a lot of players did something, but not enough played out the 4 quarters.

[4] 4 players managed 100 votes or more this week. This was actually pretty good.

[5] Walsh and Weitering were the top 2 again this week. If only a few more players would join them at the top.

[6] Walsh and Weitering were also the only 2 players to get votes from all of the voters this week.

Votes:
Walsh, Sam  257
Weitering, Jacob  183
Jones, Liam  135
Saad, Adam  101 
William, Zac  53
Cripps, Patrick  48
Betts, Eddie  32
Silvagni, Jack  29
Fisher, Zac  27
Newman, Nicholas  21
de Koning, Tom  21
Dow, Patrick 19
Owies, Matthew  13
Setterfield, Will  13
Murphy, Marc  03

Progressive Voting:
1528 - Weitering, Jacob (0)
1227 - McKay, Harrison (0)
1223 - Curnow, Edward (0)
1082 - Cripps, Patrick (0)
1070 - Saad, Adam (0)
905 - Jones, Liam (0)
739 - Docherty, Sam (0)
474 - Betts, Eddie (0)
290 - Fogarty, Lachlan (0)
229 - William, Zac (0)
186 - Gibbons, Michael (0)
180 - Silvagni, Jack (0)
157 - Petrevski - Seton, Sam (0)
156 - Plowman, Lachlan (0)
144 - Pittonet, Marc (0)
114 - Cuningham, David (0)
104 - Cottrell, Matthew (0)
103 - Murphy, Marc (0)
78 - Newnes, Jack (0)
74 - Casboult, Levi (0)
69 - Martin, Jack (0)
67 - Owies, Matthew (0)
56 - Newman, Nicholas (0)
53 - Fisher, Zac (0)
46 - Stocker, Liam (0)
22 - de Koning, Tom (0)
20 - Setterfield, Will (0)
19 - Dow, Patrick (0)
8 - McDonald, Oscar (0)

[Blue Moon]

I notice Walsh's progressive total is not on this week. Does this mean that we are so certain Walsh will win it this year that we have lost interest and we are now only interested in whether Weitering will be second or not. It is notable that Weitering and Walsh are going to quinella this award two years in a row.

[crashlander]

I notice Walsh's progressive total is not on this week. Does this mean that we are so certain Walsh will win it this year that we have lost interest and we are now only interested in whether Weitering will be second or not. It is notable that Weitering and Walsh are going to quinella this award two years in a row.

Sorry. My error. I'll fix that. But Walsh is so far in front it isn't funny.

[crashlander]

3407 - Walsh, Sam (0)
1528 - Weitering, Jacob (0)
1227 - McKay, Harrison (0)
1223 - Curnow, Edward (0)
1082 - Cripps, Patrick (0)
1070 - Saad, Adam (0)
905 - Jones, Liam (0)
739 - Docherty, Sam (0)
474 - Betts, Eddie (0)
290 - Fogarty, Lachlan (0)
229 - William, Zac (0)
186 - Gibbons, Michael (0)
180 - Silvagni, Jack (0)
157 - Petrevski - Seton, Sam (0)
156 - Plowman, Lachlan (0)
144 - Pittonet, Marc (0)
114 - Cuningham, David (0)
104 - Cottrell, Matthew (0)
103 - Murphy, Marc (0)
78 - Newnes, Jack (0)
74 - Casboult, Levi (0)
69 - Martin, Jack (0)
67 - Owies, Matthew (0)
56 - Newman, Nicholas (0)
53 - Fisher, Zac (0)
46 - Stocker, Liam (0)
22 - de Koning, Tom (0)
20 - Setterfield, Will (0)
19 - Dow, Patrick (0)
8 - McDonald, Oscar (0)

Walsh is almost 2000 ahead.