Carlton Supporters Club
CV and mad panic behaviour - Printable Version

+- Carlton Supporters Club (http://new.carltonsc.com)
+-- Forum: Social Club (http://new.carltonsc.com/forum-6.html)
+--- Forum: Blah-Blah Bar (http://new.carltonsc.com/forum-23.html)
+--- Thread: CV and mad panic behaviour (/thread-4651.html)

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 559 560 561 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 608 609 610 611 612 613 614 615 616 617 618 619 620 621 622 623 624 625 626 627 628 629 630 631 632 633 634 635 636 637 638 639 640 641 642 643 644 645 646 647 648 649 650 651 652 653 654 655 656 657 658 659 660 661 662 663 664 665 666 667 668 669 670 671 672 673 674 675 676 677 678 679 680 681 682 683 684 685 686 687 688 689 690 691 692 693 694 695 696 697 698 699 700 701 702 703 704 705 706 707 708 709 710 711 712 713 714 715 716 717 718 719 720 721 722 723 724 725 726 727 728 729 730 731 732 733 734 735 736 737 738 739 740 741 742 743


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - flyboy77 - 07-09-2020

(07-08-2020, 06:16 AM)LP link Wrote:[img width=350]https://scontent-syd2-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/106223853_1409832139407256_6171250986362687545_n.jpg?_nc_cat=102&_nc_sid=ca434c&_nc_ohc=uvvbfXyESp0AX_yMvD7&_nc_ht=scontent-syd2-1.xx&oh=2ca294d10a5bccdffc146318140e3210&oe=5F29D69F[/img]

Just about sums it up!

No one has said it's not dangerous, just it needs to be put into perspective and that it doesn't warrant a closure of our economy.

Are you really unable to grasp the distinction?


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 07-09-2020

(07-09-2020, 01:07 AM)flyboy77 date Wrote:No one has said it's not dangerous, just it needs to be put into perspective and that it doesn't warrant a closure of our economy.

Are you really unable to grasp the distinction?
Yet you apparently miss that your own campaign for the use of HCQ is contradictory to your claims that Big Pharma has created the COVID-19 hysteria.

Do you grasp that?

Your campaign for people to suck down HCQ, without any causal proof it does a thing, encourages and enables "Big Pharma" to make a tidy profit in the process without foundation! I gather that "Big Pharma" didn't blink at supplying the generic royalty free version of HCQ in bulk to Brazil, not that it helped much.

Will you take offence at having your own claims weighed by your own standards, or are you just wilfully oblivious because one side of the debate doesn't fit your conspiracy?

All comments have to be weigh in the same framework or else that is cherry-picking, and cherry-picking leads the community up the garden path!

I suppose if we are going to accept and publish stuff like the "Surgisphere HCQ booster theory", then we had better not pick and choose, and we should publish other correlative stuff about COVID-19 that increases it's threat to everyone! For example a new study from University College London shows that there is an increased risk of brain disease in COVID-19 patients of all ages, not just the elderly. Summarised here in plain language at The Conversation.

https://theconversation.com/how-coronavirus-affects-the-brain-141100

Quote:Extract;

The virus also has the potential to infect the brain directly. However, most of the physical effects we’ve seen in survivors look like secondary impacts of the virus being present in the brain rather than the effects of direct infection. For example, our immune system can appropriately fight the virus, but may start to attack our own cells – including our brain cells and nerves. This may be through the actions of immune cells and antibodies via an inflammatory mechanism known as a cytokine storm, or through mechanisms we don’t yet understand.
 






Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - flyboy77 - 07-09-2020

(07-09-2020, 01:33 AM)LP link Wrote:Yet you apparently miss that your own campaign for the use of HCQ is contradictory to your claims that Big Pharma has created the COVID-19 hysteria.

Do you grasp that?

Your campaign for people to suck down HCQ, without any causal proof it does a thing, encourages and enables "Big Pharma" to make a tidy profit in the process without foundation! I gather that "Big Pharma" didn't blink at supplying the generic royalty free version of HCQ in bulk to Brazil, not that it helped much.

Will you take offence at having your own claims weighed by your own standards, or are you just wilfully oblivious because one side of the debate doesn't fit your conspiracy?

All comments have to be weigh in the same framework or else that is cherry-picking, and cherry-picking leads the community up the garden path!

I suppose if we are going to accept and publish stuff like the "Surgisphere HCQ booster theory", then we had better not pick and choose, and we should publish other correlative stuff about COVID-19 that increases it's threat to everyone! For example a new study from University College London shows that there is an increased risk of brain disease in COVID-19 patients of all ages, not just the elderly. Summarised here in plain language at The Conversation.

https://theconversation.com/how-coronavirus-affects-the-brain-141100

I love how you never ANSWER a specific question, never debate an actual topic, just choose to obfuscate and/or play the ad hominem card. Total absence of intellectual rigour.

The observational study data is overwhelming - given at the right stage i.e. EARLY - and at the right dosage (recent UK study gave patients an initial dosage that was all but deadly)....The Zelenko protocol or the like works.

Causal proof? Saving lives isn't enough for you?

When did politics overrun science (rhetorical question). Watch the Unherd clip? Learn anything?

Don't be a lightweight LP.

Here are 4 recent studies AGAIN.

Four studies this past week in support of HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE: HCQ/AZ/Zn, 99.3% outpatient survival rate (Zelenko): https://preprints.org/manuscript/202007.0025/v1

HCQ reduces mortality by >50% (Henry Ford): https://ijidonline.com/article/S1201-9712(20)30534-8/fulltext

HCQ+AZ w/ 0.5% mortality rate (Raoult) : https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1477893920302817

Mount Sinai (NYC) study by Mikami et al showing HCQ resulted in a ~50% decreased mortality rate in COVID-19 patients (similar results as Henry Ford Hospital).

https://t.co/tgFtMcG2Q4?amp=1


You need to get out of your little bubble and think a bit rather than playing the game....


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 07-09-2020

There are no questions to answer about these issues because they are all based on fake premises, there is no causal evidence for saving life from SARS-CoV-2 infections through the use of HCQ, so no answering the question based on a fake and fabricated premise.

You re-posting the same correlations over and over again is not offering facts or supporting evidence, and no matter how many times it gets re-posted, re-submitted or re-published by various people plagiarising the original work, won't help improve the quality of it. It's just a correlation, like The Donald claiming a thousand retweets legitimises his opinion.

So there is nothing to answer or debate, because what you are looking for doesn't exist, your language asserts causality where none exists. That is a matter for you, not me!

There are reputable journals and groups doing HCQ studies, and they do so without needing to distort the facts, and they are doing it on a scale that is relevant with thousands of patients in a double blind studies both as treatment and prophylactic . Not hand-picked small numbers of narrow band demographic already infected patients, and not in-discriminant screen scraping large scale meta-data studies like Surgisphere. It will probably be another year before the legit studies have locked down answers for any of the alternatives, bad, indifferent or good!

But I suppose the claim will be that the stuff those legitimate studies omit, generally things that they cannot prove or support from the data, will be proof of a Big Pharma conspiracy or political interference! I'd be justified to expect such a response, already we've seen a response in that manner, when a simple subset chart that uses the same basic set of figures as your preferred source allegedly omits data to "deliberately make things look worse!"

As for the other fake assertion, that of a better economic path. Sweden took the less economic damage approach for a COVID-19 strategy, regarding not taking an economic hit to control the virus, and it actually has turned out a hell of lot worse for them both from an economic and a health perspective. As reported by Sweden! Have they turned evil, has Sweden been got at, by Big Pharma perhaps? :o

If it's bogus from the start, a thousand copies of the same won't make it legitimate!

Yes the usual tactics, disparagement, smoking doesn't cause lung disease, guns don't kill people kill, vaccination kills, climate change isn't real, COVID-19 is biological warfare, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.....! The pattern is obvious, it's a preferred tactic of the fakies, make some fake assertions and conclusions from cherry-picked data then draw in a bunch of well-meaning researchers or specialists into a debate on the premise in a hope to add legitimacy. It's a tactic that is now growing old, people across the internet are too well informed, they can see through the fakies!


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - Thryleon - 07-09-2020

All Im going to add to this debate is the following:

make sure that anything criticising the pandemic, isnt riddled with misinformation, and confirmation bias.

Correlation not causation.

likewise for anything affirming the steps we are taking to prevent things from getting out of hand.

The actions, and the reaction are sometimes hard to quantify in terms of what was the best possible outcome, and often the facts and figures get in the way of the human cost of such decisions.

When push comes to shove, the idea of shutting us down for the health, safety and well being of everyone isnt solely a control measure, it is done in the best interests of everyone.  For the greater good.

Whether or not this action is warranted is actually a seperate argument.  To answer that relies on having key data that we the people are not actually privy to.  Most of the arguments are generally happening at a level of "I KNOW BETTER THAN YOU".

That is already a false premise.  The worlds reaction to this pandemic tells me that no one really knows what we are looking at, and are acting based on potential outcomes, and only post pandemic will those outcomes really be understood.  Anyone asserting otherwise is actually motivated with a pre conceived idea on what the best course of action is, and will selectively choose evidence to confirm that.  Hence why I stated, dont act based on what the information is telling your confirmation bias.

The facts state the following:

1.  we have a virus no one has seen before.
2.  We dont have a good grasp on how it effects people.
3.  Our health systems that are normally geared to trying to help people achieve "normal levels" are continuing to do act as they normally do and are not winning that fight which is a cause for concern on multiple levels.
4.  This is an infectious disease.
5.  It has the capability to be a cause of death where ordinarily people wouldn't die from some of their other co-morbities.
6.  The reaction to the virus falls into an acceptable motivation that is geared towards preventing bad outcomes, rather than enforcing worse outcomes.


Anything else is HYPERBOLE.  No one knows what the cost of not shutting down is, and the cost to treat a patient requiring treatment in a pandemic might actually cost the same as the damage we are doing to the economy.

Did you know, that rooms in 5 star hotels are cheaper than a hospital bed on a per night basis?

When viewing this pandemic through that lense, think REALLY hard about the cost of flooding our hospitals with patients who are not in for one night, but multiple on a ventilator.  The hospitals are not free, and patient treatment is actually very expensive, whether you see a bed or not.


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - Thryleon - 07-10-2020

Oh and some economic food for thought:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/07/business/sweden-economy-coronavirus.html?referringSource=articleShare%E2%80%9CIt&fbclid=IwAR3gZcUOF2XwrhqoSWa8vRbU4tDbEcI8GiRHwxEq4AE8Oc6HqaFs0pzsuAg




Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 07-10-2020

Very well authored Thry.

I see the economic debate as more of a political debate, ultimately it's about privilege, private versus public health ideology. But even for the privileged, it only makes sense if you think there is a certain cure, which it seems there isn't!

For example the actions in the UK are contradictory to experience. Does this mean Boris Johnson thinks he is now immune to a second bout of Sars-CoV-2? It would seem to be that he thinks the risk to health from opening the economy is justified, so he either hasn't learned or he thinks the rest of the population are collateral damage to economic management. But what if the worst case scenarios are correct or even under-estimated?

In the long term, isn't this just a shift of the real costs from the general population and small business into health? Yet ultimately we will all pay via taxes anyway!

If you fail politically, a good way to get rid of the NHS by some other means is to send it broke

Some may argue that re-opening the economy only makes sense if you think health care is the domain of the wealthy. It's the ultimate outcome of the worst case scenario of re-opening the economy, is this something Sweden and a couple of other European states are now learning the hard way? It seems they are proof the economic rationalism was fundamentally wrong, having grossly underestimated the economic cost of leaving a natural resolution to the infection. Brazil is now also in this same boat, with it seems Mexico to follow.

Some will argue there will be just as many deaths from economic suffering and stress, perhaps even from war. But the unaddressed infection will see millions starving anyway, which will then probably lead to dispute, I suppose the economic rationalists will say that is a NIMBY issue!


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - flyboy77 - 07-10-2020

(07-09-2020, 03:57 AM)LP link Wrote:There are no questions to answer about these issues because they are all based on fake premises, there is no causal evidence for saving life from SARS-CoV-2 infections through the use of HCQ, so no answering the question based on a fake and fabricated premise.

You re-posting the same correlations over and over again is not offering facts or supporting evidence, and no matter how many times it gets re-posted, re-submitted or re-published by various people plagiarising the original work, won't help improve the quality of it. It's just a correlation, like The Donald claiming a thousand retweets legitimises his opinion.

So there is nothing to answer or debate, because what you are looking for doesn't exist, your language asserts causality where none exists. That is a matter for you, not me!

There are reputable journals and groups doing HCQ studies, and they do so without needing to distort the facts, and they are doing it on a scale that is relevant with thousands of patients in a double blind studies both as treatment and prophylactic . Not hand-picked small numbers of narrow band demographic already infected patients, and not in-discriminant screen scraping large scale meta-data studies like Surgisphere. It will probably be another year before the legit studies have locked down answers for any of the alternatives, bad, indifferent or good!

But I suppose the claim will be that the stuff those legitimate studies omit, generally things that they cannot prove or support from the data, will be proof of a Big Pharma conspiracy or political interference! I'd be justified to expect such a response, already we've seen a response in that manner, when a simple subset chart that uses the same basic set of figures as your preferred source allegedly omits data to "deliberately make things look worse!"

As for the other fake assertion, that of a better economic path. Sweden took the less economic damage approach for a COVID-19 strategy, regarding not taking an economic hit to control the virus, and it actually has turned out a hell of lot worse for them both from an economic and a health perspective. As reported by Sweden! Have they turned evil, has Sweden been got at, by Big Pharma perhaps? :o

If it's bogus from the start, a thousand copies of the same won't make it legitimate!

Yes the usual tactics, disparagement, smoking doesn't cause lung disease, guns don't kill people kill, vaccination kills, climate change isn't real, COVID-19 is biological warfare, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.....! The pattern is obvious, it's a preferred tactic of the fakies, make some fake assertions and conclusions from cherry-picked data then draw in a bunch of well-meaning researchers or specialists into a debate on the premise in a hope to add legitimacy. It's a tactic that is now growing old, people across the internet are too well informed, they can see through the fakies!

So you ignore the 50 odd studies?

https://c19study.com/

And you're a scientist. Hah, says it all really. A total absence of intellectual rigour.

You have clearly read so little about the situation that you don't even understand the Lancet/Surgisphere study was entirely anti HCQ -but then shown to be fraudulent and quickly retracted by Lancet. As was another anti HCQ study.

Lightweight stuff LP, but apparently the norm from you.

You suggesting the Lancet isn't reputable LP? Pissweak stuff.

You keep throwing the word "fake" in yet you back it up with nothing.

You call Sweden a failure yet there were numerous countries that imposed severe lockdowns that had/have significantly higher death rates. How things pan out for them economically (especially relative to others) remains to be seen.

I note also that their method of reporting COVID deaths would clearly result in over reporting of the numbers. And at least they admit they screwed up wrt nursing homes, unlike idiots like Cuomo in NYC who should be put on trial.

You claim there is no existing or pre existing immunity in the community in the face of direct evidence to the contrary.

https://www.globalresearch.ca/300-million-people-may-infected-covid-19-stanford-guru-john-ioannidis-says/5717660

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53248660

https://www.wsj.com/articles/herd-immunity-may-be-closer-than-you-think-11594076237

People can draw their own conclusions.

And look, the great white hope promoted by Fauci and Big Pharma, Remdesivir - a wipe out!

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.093

You won't see that in MSM.

I'll stick to the footy - you neither have the the capacity nor the ability to have a reasoned discussion.





Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - ElwoodBlues1 - 07-10-2020

288 new cases in Victoria and now masks are the preferred option when in close contact with others, lockdown in Victoria will exceed the six weeks for sure. Idiots still partying on and being caught by the cops, I'd jail these clowns, good luck trying to fine these bozo's and get the money out of them..


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - Jack Burton - 07-10-2020

There are too many of them, we don't have enough jail cells. Check the photos from Mornington pier this morning. Melbourne just simply has too many people who care only about themselves, this will get very bad in a few weeks when the deaths start piling up