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CV and mad panic behaviour - Printable Version

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Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - cookie2 - 03-28-2020

(03-28-2020, 06:13 AM)Jack Burton link Wrote:Interesting, my son went to our local Woolies today and said it was packed, no one showing any respect for social distancing

Went to local plaza Coles and Aldi on Fri. Quite uncrowded and civilized, even got toilet rolls. When we left the car park was almost deserted. Hard to fathom really.

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - Gointocarlton - 03-28-2020

(03-28-2020, 06:13 AM)Jack Burton link Wrote:Interesting, my son went to our local Woolies today and said it was packed, no one showing any respect for social distancing
Nah not here, lines and crosses on the ground being obeyed. People of all ages and cultures making a concerted effort to keep a distance. Woolies should be commended for their efforts to keep people safe (line markings, instore announcements, sanitiser on the way in, sanitising trollies etc. Well done.

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - Gointocarlton - 03-28-2020

(03-28-2020, 06:18 AM)cookie2 link Wrote:Went to local plaza Coles and Aldi on Fri. Quite uncrowded and civilized, even got toilet rolls. When we left the car park was almost deserted. Hard to fathom really.
As was Woolies today, got some bog roles for my mum also.

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - capcom - 03-28-2020

And in our little town, the two supermarkets will no longer serve "out of towners". 

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - ElwoodBlues1 - 03-28-2020

(03-28-2020, 07:02 AM)capcom link Wrote:And in our little town, the two supermarkets will no longer serve "out of towners". 
Still cant believe buses of out of towners were raiding country supermarkets, over in the States the queues at the local supermarket are being matched by the queues at the local gunshops...

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - PaulP - 03-28-2020

http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/podcasts-webinars/episode-1-how-we-got-here

The first of hopefully many weekly updates on Covid-19.

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - Baggers - 03-28-2020

(03-28-2020, 12:29 AM)flyboy77 link Wrote:Where are you sourcing your data Baggers?

https://covid-19-au.github.io/?fbclid=IwAR3T6XxEYs-dCU4fjJn5VXdcLQIM0GSJ7I4iQrocL--QCkIoIzknFG623bg


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - Thryleon - 03-28-2020

I'm not a forecaster.

I hear some stuff from work,and I pass on what I hear.

1.  Our hospital beds have never been this empty.  They're planning for the worst.

2. They are anticipating a full ICU by april 7.

3.  Peak is currently expected to be mid june.

4.  Despite things not escalating quickly flu season has yet to start in earnest and it's really difficult to know whether or not flu season is going to amplify the effect of the virus.  The incident command center is extremely concerned that things will hit us worse than most other nations thanks to timing. 

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - Gointocarlton - 03-28-2020

From the HS
https://www.heraldsun.com.au/lifestyle/health/coronavirus-spreaders-in-australia-where-they-are-coming-from/news-story/bcbb4d274e9b91430a93d8124b7363e4

Exclusive: People travelling from the US have introduced far more cases of coronavirus infections into Australia than China, the country where the pandemic started.

People with a direct link to the Americas, including the US, account for 19 per cent of Australia’s current 3574 infections, Department of Health data shows.

Infectious disease expert and microbiologist Peter Collignon told News Corp that in hindsight, a travel ban should have been placed on flights coming from the US.

Speaking before Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced all international return travellers would be placed in compulsory quarantine, Professor Collignon, from the Australian National University’s medical school, said returning travellers were Australia’s greatest challenge, as they brought the virus with them, and passed it on to their family and close contacts.

“The US is now our main source of infection, the US and Europe much more than China and Iran,’’ he said.

“It’s gone through different countries at different rates. In retrospect we should have put a ban on the US a bit earlier.’’

Prof. Collignon said the Australian rate of community transmission was still very low.


Figures from the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System, released to News Corp by the Federal Department of Health, show that of the 3166 infections recorded in Australia by 3pm on Friday:

*19 per cent were acquired in the United States;

*19 per cent were acquired at sea (cruise ships);

*12 per cent were acquired in the United Kingdom;

*An unspecified number of other cases were acquired from 60 other countries and regions.

The weekly report on coronavirus cases to March 14 showed that:

*22 per cent of cases had a direct link to US;

*11 per cent had a direct link to Italy;

*9 per cent had a direct link to Iran;

*8 per cent had a direct link to the UK;

*8 per cent had a direct to China;

*6 per cent were Diamond Princess cruise ship passengers repatriated from Japan;

*37 per cent had a recent travel history to other countries.

Prof. Collignon said the vast majority of positive diagnoses of coronavirus in Australia involved people who had returned from overseas and their immediate contacts.

“There is very little evidence of community transmissions in Australia. I think it is encouraging because what we have done is along the same lines as Singapore and Korea have done quite successfully.

“They’ve turned the curve – they’re still getting sporadic case but they’re not getting this exponential rise.

“We had minimal or almost no community spread here, maybe we were lucky because it was our autumn and it was warmer, but there’s been spread in the US for at least six weeks and (in) Europe.’’

Prof. Collignon said Europe remained the largest source of coronavirus cases in Australia but that Australia’ relatively-early travel bans (on countries including Italy and Iran) had helped keep cases down, as had early testing, which began in January.

On Friday, the US overtook China as the country with the most infections, with 100,717 cases recorded by yesterday, compared to 81,897 in China. China is still believed to be not be recording cases of people who show no symptoms.





Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 03-28-2020

(03-28-2020, 11:35 AM)Thryleon date Wrote:4.  Despite things not escalating quickly flu season has yet to start in earnest and it's really difficult to know whether or not flu season is going to amplify the effect of the virus.  The incident command center is extremely concerned that things will hit us worse than most other nations thanks to timing. 
My associates in the Northern hemisphere still seem to think the Flu season has compounded the COVID-19 situation, which might be bad news for us given Flu season is traditionally another month or two away. Hopefully by then we have some drugs for prophylactic effects.

In terms of new cases, today was twice as bad as any day we've had previously, those 111 cases today doubled the next worst day of 54 cases.