(07-07-2021, 07:48 AM)flyboy77 link Wrote:So give them ivermectin. FMD, a lot of gullible folk here.

As for Mav's anti lockdowners having a hard time.

I've got two young kids, shame on you, you pompous ......

https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/health/mental-health/attempted-suicide-rates-among-victorian-teenagers-soar-by-184-per-cent-in-past-six-months-kids-helpline-reveals/news-story/db9d5136075a7c7edf4750a0391b0653

(07-07-2021, 02:47 PM)ElwoodBlues1 link Wrote:https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-02/delta-coronavirus-variant-symptoms-vaccines-spread/100255804

Further to Fly's post with his link to the medical expert in the USA, you can form your own opinion on the contents of that interview but this ABC news link above does seem to support at least one aspect of that interview in suggesting that while the Delta variant spreads quicker the first data in a study from the UK is showing the mortality rate lower only 0.3 and the symptoms less severe and more in line with a bad cold. Early days as the article suggest and I'm no medical expert but if that trend continues you would have to question our approach in terms of vaccines/lockdowns and if indeed the virus is starting to mutate itself to a safer livable level. Just read that half the recent deaths in England of Covid19 were people who had been vaccinated. Its confusing with conflicting data/opinions to make informed decisions...

(07-07-2021, 02:47 PM)ElwoodBlues1 date Wrote:Just read that half the recent deaths in England of Covid19 were people who had been vaccinated.

(07-07-2021, 02:47 PM)ElwoodBlues1 date Wrote:Delta variant spreads quicker the first data in a study from the UK is showing the mortality rate lower only 0.3 and the symptoms less severe and more in line with a bad cold.

(07-07-2021, 11:19 AM)PaulP link Wrote:Some of us don't have the time to investigate every garbologist, greengrocer, taxi driver, cardiologist etc., who think they know better than the experts in their field. And very few of us possess your obvious talents for data analysis.

If that makes me an ad hominem attacker, I can live with that.

We're just trying to follow the rules, the expert advice, and do the right thing, to protect ourselves, and protect others. If you believe it's all a hysterical overreaction, that is a matter for you.

Quote:Some of us don't have time....

(07-07-2021, 10:17 PM)LP link Wrote:That's not really true, the Delta R[sub]0[/sub] is close to 7.0, while the normal COVID-19 R[sub]0[/sub] is 2.5, these are the base of an exponent n that represents infection cycles, so you know the even if the lethality of Delta is 100x less it would be still equal or more deadly because of the huge number of more people it infects!

R[sub]0[/sub][sup]n[/sup] if n = 2, then 2.5[sup]2[/sup] = 6.25, the infection grows over six cycles 2.5[sup]6[/sup] approximately as 2.5, 6, 15, 39, 97, 244

R[sub]0[/sub][sup]n[/sup] if n = 2, then 7[sup]2[/sup] = 49, the infection grows over six cycles 7.0[sup]6[/sup] approximately as 7, 49, 343, 2401, 16807, 117649

The report you reference is really a sly and cynical use of math, sly because reporting a death rate in the absence of a scale is deceptive, cynical because it assumes the listener has no concept of math, exponents and exponential growth, so by reporting small numbers they hope to persuade people for political purposes.