Carlton Supporters Club
CV and mad panic behaviour - Printable Version

+- Carlton Supporters Club (http://new.carltonsc.com)
+-- Forum: Social Club (http://new.carltonsc.com/forum-6.html)
+--- Forum: Blah-Blah Bar (http://new.carltonsc.com/forum-23.html)
+--- Thread: CV and mad panic behaviour (/thread-4651.html)

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 559 560 561 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 608 609 610 611 612 613 614 615 616 617 618 619 620 621 622 623 624 625 626 627 628 629 630 631 632 633 634 635 636 637 638 639 640 641 642 643 644 645 646 647 648 649 650 651 652 653 654 655 656 657 658 659 660 661 662 663 664 665 666 667 668 669 670 671 672 673 674 675 676 677 678 679 680 681 682 683 684 685 686 687 688 689 690 691 692 693 694 695 696 697 698 699 700 701 702 703 704 705 706 707 708 709 710 711 712 713 714 715 716 717 718 719 720 721 722 723 724 725 726 727 728 729 730 731 732 733 734 735 736 737 738 739 740 741 742 743


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 04-07-2021

(04-07-2021, 02:52 AM)ElwoodBlues1 date Wrote:Vaccine program is a one size fits all approach geared to herd immunity and with the prospect of losing some of the herd factored in by authorities.
How many have been killed by the vaccine, not the social media claims, but official health department death tolls?

So far the official count is ................... zero, nought, nada, nothing .................... out of 680 Million doses injected.

So where does this statement come from?

"...with the prospect of losing some of the herd factored in by authorities"

The real problem being played out here is the $4, it's not making enough people richer or happier!


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - ElwoodBlues1 - 04-07-2021

(04-07-2021, 02:56 AM)LP link Wrote:How many have been killed by the vaccine, not the social media claims, but official health department death tolls?

So far the official count is ................... zero, nought, nada, nothing .................... out of 680 Million doses injected.

So where does this statement come from?

"...with the prospect of losing some of the herd factored in by authorities"

The real problem being played out here is the $4, it's not making enough people richer or happier!
The focus of Herd Immunity is saving the majority of the herd, the minority however small may have to be sacrificed to achieve that.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-56620646


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 04-07-2021

(04-07-2021, 03:02 AM)ElwoodBlues1 date Wrote:The focus of Herd Immunity is saving the majority of the herd, the minority however small have to be sacrificed to achieve that.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-56620646
The problem [member=57]ElwoodBlues1[/member]‍ is that the number of deaths being reported from blood clots in the vaccinated population, is proportionally lower than the same blood clot deaths in the unvaccinated population.

On a like for like basis, it looks like if you get the vaccine you are less likely to die from this type of blood clot! :o

The media don't report the numbers of all people who suffer this type of blood clot! Early on an epidemiologist reported that in relation to the UK 31, in the same total number of people from the general population as the vaccination count there would/should be about 80 cases.


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - ElwoodBlues1 - 04-07-2021

(04-07-2021, 03:06 AM)LP link Wrote:The problem [member=57]ElwoodBlues1[/member]‍ is that the number of deaths being reported from blood clots in the vaccinated population, is proportionally lower than the same blood clot deaths in the unvaccinated population.

On a like for like basis, it looks like if you get the vaccine you are less likely to die from this type of blood clot! :o
If someone gets the astraz jab and three days later get blood clots you dont think thats a reasonable probable explanation.
Fate just timed it that their blood clots coincided with getting the jab.?



Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 04-07-2021

(04-07-2021, 03:09 AM)ElwoodBlues1 date Wrote:If someone gets the astraz jab and three days later get blood clots you dont think thats a reasonable probable explanation.
Fate just timed it that their blood clots coincided with getting the jab.?
Yes exactly, if the global numbers are not faked it could be explained as fate.

Statically if the same number of general population just walked through the hospital without being vaccinated, there should be 80 clot cases in that perambulatory population in the next 30 days.

btw., Many of those reporting clots happened weeks or months after the jab, they aren't all reporting clots after 3 days, the 3 days is misleading.

I listened to a podcast where one patient developed syncope after the vaccine, was investigated and found to have a clot, but for that clot to already be in place it had to be forming hours or days before the vaccine was issued. It's not a light switch moment.

In the total population, the vaccination numbers are so huge, there will also be a percentage diagnosed post vaccination with MS, MND, cancer, diabetes, epliepsy, depression, Chron's Disease, etc., etc., etc., it's just coincidence it is not caused by the vaccines.

The media is focussed on the AstraZeneca, because of the $4, if they were genuinely concerned they be calling for J&J to be restricted as well.


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - ElwoodBlues1 - 04-07-2021

(04-07-2021, 03:11 AM)LP link Wrote:Yes exactly, if the global numbers are not faked it could be explained as fate.

Statically if the same number of general population just walked through the hospital without being vaccinated, there should be 80 clot case in that perambulatory population in the next 30 days.
https://sciencenorway.no/covid19/norwegian-experts-say-deadly-blood-clots-were-caused-by-the-astrazeneca-covid-vaccine/1830510.
When 31 Norwegians suddenly present with blood clots or what ever the number was its just a coincidence?, I find that hard to believe. That article above tells a different story, another Government on the ropes wanting the dubious EMA to bail them out from  having to confront the independent experts opinions.



Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 04-07-2021

The death rate in Norway is 7.9 people per 1000 per year, or 0.63 per thousand per months.

505,000 thousand Norwegians have been vaccinated over a month, of that 505,000 nearly 950 who got the vaccine would have died over the vaccination period.

I don't have Norway figures on clots, and it can vary, but the EU experts come out and stated it's comparable to the background rate.

In the USA, about 300 people die per day from thromboembolism, and there are nearly 700 cases per day (250,000 per year) of severe thromboembolism. That's a 40% mortality. If you are vaccinating large portions of the population in a month a death from a clot is an inevitable coincidence.

Just getting a plain needle with no injectable increases the risk! :o

PS; I'm not claiming it's impossible, I'm just trying to clarify the chance of it happening and being true!

Do you let your kids get in cars?


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - Thryleon - 04-07-2021

(04-07-2021, 03:34 AM)LP link Wrote:The death rate in Norway is 7.9 people per 1000 per year, or 0.63 per thousand per months.

505,000 thousand Norwegians have been vaccinated over a month, of that 505,000 nearly 950 who got the vaccine would have died over the vaccination period.

I don't have Norway figures on clots, and it can vary, but the EU experts come out and stated it's comparable to the background rate.

In the USA, about 300 people die per day from thromboembolism, and there are nearly 700 cases per day (250,000 per year) of severe thromboembolism. That's a 40% mortality. If you are vaccinating large portions of the population in a month a death from a clot is an inevitable coincidence.

Just getting a plain needle with no injectable increases the risk! :o

PS; I'm not claiming it's impossible, I'm just trying to clarify the chance of it happening and being true!

Do you let your kids get in cars?
I always see this car argument, but here is the kicker.

Not everyone drives the same.  Not everyone drives as far or for as long.

The stats are always fudged.

Outliers are considered outliers until they aren't outliers anymore.

Its not as simple as anyone makes out.  There's lies, dammed lies, and then statistics is how the saying goes.

If I'm relatively low risk for covid (under 40, and healthy) and I get the jab and end up with blood clots (44 year old at box hill hospital) how does that risk assessment go when I work in a hospital that has seen and treated covid/scovid patients and yet have not contracted covid even during our worst infection rates whilst going into those areas?

I.e.  I will 100% get the jab, but I won't 100% get covid at this rate.  Even if I did, the chances are I won't be adversely affected with long covid based on current numbers, infection and probable outcomes but if I end up with blood clots and a low platelet count then what?

Note, this isn't an easy answer and nor should it be and its a question that has yet to be asked and before anyone goes too hard here I want you to keep in mind that for us to conceive we need to go down ARS and what impact will covid/jab have for us to conceive successfully?




Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 04-07-2021

(04-07-2021, 03:51 AM)Thryleon date Wrote:I always see this car argument, but here is the kicker.

Not everyone drives the same.  Not everyone drives as far or for as long.
The stats are always fudged.
Outliers are considered outliers until they aren't outliers anymore.
Its not as simple as anyone makes out.  There's lies, dammed lies, and then statistics is how the saying goes.
It's not what your common sense thinks it is either, you need to understand The Monty Hall problem to understand why common sense fails.

The risk isn't accumulative in a relative framework, whether you drive 1 kilometre or 1000 the chance or dying in kilometre 1 is the same as the chance of dying in kilometre 1000. And the risk in kilometre 1001 is the same as the risk in any of the previous 1000 kilometres.

Secondly, and very very importantly, when you take the vaccine jab you aren't increasing risk, you are reducing risk.


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - ElwoodBlues1 - 04-07-2021

Secondly, and very very importantly, when you take the vaccine jab you aren't increasing risk, you are reducing risk.

As Thry alluded to earlier that depends on your risk profile and this vaccination program is a one size fits all from now on with only the Astraz on offer.