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CV and mad panic behaviour - Printable Version +- Carlton Supporters Club (http://new.carltonsc.com) +-- Forum: Social Club (http://new.carltonsc.com/forum-6.html) +--- Forum: Blah-Blah Bar (http://new.carltonsc.com/forum-23.html) +--- Thread: CV and mad panic behaviour (/thread-4651.html) Pages:
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Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 03-15-2021 (03-15-2021, 11:47 PM)PaulP date Wrote:What do they hope to achieve by a two week suspension?It's meaningless, the alleged numbers are so low from vaccinations that have taken weeks and/or months to issue almost nothing can be achieved by the suspension. As I predicted earlier today, some sites are now reporting it's just two batches they are worried about. What they will probably eventually state in a week or two is that the incidence of blood clots in people being vaccinated AstraZeneca doesn't deviate from the global mean, not different to any other vaccine, injection, procedure or head count. But they already know that from the 17 million AstraZeneca doses handed out in the UK, that doesn't mean any vaccine or procedure gets to avoid vigilance. Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 03-16-2021 (03-15-2021, 11:56 PM)Thryleon date Wrote:Yes but given how we've responded to the covid threat you would think we'd take the same precautions with the vaccine.It's not dismissed as a conspiracy theory that is social media talk, and there are plenty of precautions being taken more than is usual. The scientific consensus is the the alleged rate is so low it's not more than is predicted by the epidemiology of a cohort that is the same size, and that it doesn't warrant the suspension issued primarily by bureaucrats and politicians. The problem is the case being argued to stop vaccination bears no great validity, and the points made to support that stop can actually be equally applied to both sides of the debate for and against for a net effect of zero. You cannot just selectively apply those points to one side of the debate, they have to be applied equally to both and the result them becomes null. What isn't symmetrical is that one side of this debate is supported by the weight of vaccination numbers, which is a fact not a conspiracy or opinion. Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - ElwoodBlues1 - 03-16-2021 (03-15-2021, 11:47 PM)PaulP link Wrote:I can kind of see where LP is coming from. We don't know whether those decisions to suspend the AZ vaccine are purely political, somewhat political, how much heed they have paid to their in house scientists etc. Perhaps European scientists are more risk averse.Dont think the South African scrapping of the vaccine had anything to do with politics, it failed testing with regards their own strain and will cost them more having switched in the main to the Johnson/Johnson vaccine. Herd immunity is fine until the herd stragglers who get picked off by a blood clot or other failure are one of your family, maybe these other countries value the lives of their citizens a bit more and are prepared to put more work into thorough testing than looking to save a dollar than some other nations. Its also very choice when your Prime Minister sprukes the vaccine with the problems but he and his ministers have all had the alternate ie the Pfizer.....very Mary Antoinette.... let the people have the AstraZ..... Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - LP - 03-16-2021 (03-16-2021, 12:23 AM)ElwoodBlues1 date Wrote:Dont think the South African scrapping of the vaccine had anything to do with politics, it failed testing with regards their own strainHow did the replication trials of the Sth African result go, nobody it seems has been able to come out and support the Sth African result so far and several countries are testing the strain! The official position is this; Quote:A small study of 2,000 people in South Africa has shown that the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine offers minimal protection against mild cases of the South African variant. Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - PaulP - 03-16-2021 (03-15-2021, 11:54 PM)madbluboy link Wrote:He didn't lose you after his toddlers choking on carrots anology? I must have missed it. The point being, it is not unreasonable to speculate whether the suspensions are more influenced by politics or science, given the current circumstances and given what we know about how both science and politics operate. I'm not saying LP or anyone else is right or wrong. But it's a fair question IMO. Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - PaulP - 03-16-2021 https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/mar/15/evidence-oxford-vaccine-blood-clots-data-causal-links "It’s human nature to spot patterns in data. But we should be careful about finding causal links where none may exist" Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - ElwoodBlues1 - 03-16-2021 (03-16-2021, 12:32 AM)LP link Wrote:How did the replication trials of the Sth African result go, nobody it seems has been able to come out and support the Sth African result so far and several countries are testing the strain!They scrapped it and its going to cost them money... They must have some serious doubts. Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - PaulP - 03-16-2021 https://theconversation.com/data-suggest-no-increased-risk-of-blood-clots-from-the-astrazeneca-vaccine-australia-shouldnt-pause-its-rollout-157137 Another article suggesting we should not pause the AZ rollout. Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - ElwoodBlues1 - 03-16-2021 (03-16-2021, 12:51 AM)PaulP link Wrote:https://theconversation.com/data-suggest-no-increased-risk-of-blood-clots-from-the-astrazeneca-vaccine-australia-shouldnt-pause-its-rollout-157137I guess the government signing a deal with CSL for 50 Million doses might also encourage Scott and crew to keep pushing it as safe. Looks like a few of his backbenchers don't agree and want it suspended.. Re: CV and mad panic behaviour - PaulP - 03-16-2021 https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-why-are-countries-suspending-the-astrazeneca-vaccine The whole article is well worth reading, but I found the following particularly interesting : AstraZeneca riskier than Pfizer? AstraZeneca said its safety results for blood clotting conditions were “similar across other licensed COVID-19 vaccines”. Professor Stephen Evans from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine said the latest publicly available data showed there were 35 reported cases of thrombocytopenia (a low blood platelet disorder) out of 54,000 “yellow card” reports after nearly 10 million AstraZeneca vaccinations. For the Pfizer vaccine there were 22 cases out of 33,000 reports and almost 11 million doses administered. Prof Evans said: “It is clear that the proportion of reports for this bleeding disorder is not different in the two vaccines.” |