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+--- Thread: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle (/thread-5606.html)
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - Mav - 04-18-2022
But doesn't that just mean there are never any easy games? Doesn't that mean there's no point taking into account who we play in the next month because they're all danger games? The fact is that North and Adelaide were bottom sides last year and popular picks for the bottom of the ladder this year (and now the Crows have lost Rory Sloane). I'll go out on a limb and say that playing North & the Crows would be easier than playing Melbourne & Brisbane (or Sydney, or Geelong or St Kilda etc).
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - Mav - 04-18-2022
Against Freo, how do we deal with their twin towers? Rory Lobb at 207/106 & Matt Taberner 198/98 will be a handful and that probably means Lewis Young is a selection certainty.
On Footy Classified last night, Kane Cornes did a spot on how Taberner has improved his goals per game steadily over a decade to become a very good KPF. He did this in part by a bit of statistical legerdemain: he noted Taberner has so far this season kicked an average of 3.8 goals per game. The reason why that's probably a bit misleading is that he kicked 7 of them against Essendon on the weekend, meaning he's only kicked 4 goals in the other 2 games he's played. Maybe kicking 7 against an imploding Essendon is an outlier whose influence over the average may fade as the season goes on. Still, he's a big enough threat to draw Weitering as an opponent, especially as my impression of Lobb is that he prefers to play as the leading forward which would drag Weitering out of position.
Freo also have a natural defender to put on Harry: Alex Pearce stands at 201/99. Sean Darcy at 203/112 in the ruck might be a grind for Pittonet who might need a bit of help.
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - Baggers - 04-19-2022
There are no 'easy' games. Take any opponent with less than 100% preparation and focus and you'll be in trouble.
This Saturday night's game will likely be our toughest test of the season. We're meeting a very good side in very good form on their dung heap. Probably the most in-form side we'll have played this season, delivering our biggest test, thus far. 2 good quarters is highly unlikely to cut the mustard.
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - LP - 04-19-2022
I think the chance of us winning this week is very slim, but not without hope.
- We've given up about 15 goals in two consecutive second halves.
- Because of that we played to the death in 28° C heat in the middle of the day, from which we get to have a 6 day break.
- Freo had a cool of the evening bruise free cruise fest against the AFL's most piss-weak opponent.
- We've looked rattled and lethargic despite getting off to fierce starts.
For me if we win on the Perth road trip six days after a 28° C full time death struggle, it will be like buying the cheapest Tatts Quick Pick and winning the mega jackpot, it's not impossible but it's very very unlikely.
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - Mav - 04-19-2022
(04-19-2022, 12:05 AM)Baggers link Wrote:There are no 'easy' games. Take any opponent with less than 100% preparation and focus and you'll be in trouble.Do you think we're more likely to beat North or Melbourne? Where do you think the bookies would fix the line in those 2 games?
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - Lods - 04-19-2022
I'm looking forward to this game.
I think we'll learn a bit about where we really sit and any issues we may have.
A few questions might get some answers.
There has been an incredible gap between our best and worst football this season.
Is there a fitness issue? That may not necessarily be a total negative depending on training loads and where we sit in the training cycles...but it may be leaving players struggling at the end of games.
Is the game plan we are trying to develop just a bit in front of where we are physically and as the season progresses will we handle those physical pressures better?
Is it more a mental issue. We get leads and relax just that little bit. Both our own players and the opposition have in the back of their minds that Carlton can be a bit flaky and susceptible to wilting. When it begins it's hard to reverse.
In games like the Gold Coast did we go in a bit overconfident, thinking the task would be easier and weren't prepared for the pressure they brought.
Some of these things aren't new, they've become ingrained over the last few years.
Reversing some of these issues is one of Voss's goals...and it may take the best part of the year to see how he manages the task.
The thing about the up-coming game is that there will be no illusions.
Don't come prepared, or drop the effort after getting a good lead, and Fremantle will punish us ruthlessly.
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - DJC - 04-19-2022
It will probably be a tough contest but I suspect that Freo is just a tad over-rated. After all, the teams they've beaten sit 13th to 16th on the ladder and we've beaten the 8th, 10th and 11th teams
If Cripps is fit to play, Newnes has to go out. Dow will miss out again and no-one in the magoos really put their hand up apart from Plowman. I can't see Plowman coming back in at this stage.
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - Mav - 04-19-2022
Andrew Brayshaw is the key. He is their Cripps, a contested ball beast who can generate momentum. If Hewitt can keep him quiet in the 1st quarter, we might just get away to a flyer. Then again, Will Brodie is also doing well at winning contested possessions, so it's not as simple as keeping Brayshaw quiet.
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - WASurfer - 04-19-2022
As much as Silvagni gives his all, not sure we can ask him to go up against Lobb. TDK probably needs to play this week, irrespective of his VFL form on the weekend.
One thing we need is a bit of pace....watching that Freo game, they were very quick on the outside and it's not an area we're overly blessed with. IMO, I'd have Dow in the team this week and play him off a wing even if Cripps comes back in. Setterfield needs to be dropped...forget the stats, he's not contributing at all and lost count of the number of panic handballs he made to a team mate under more pressure.
I'm not sold on Parks at this stage. Young was good in his first game for us but has looked very shaky in recent weeks. He's good for the spoil in a contest but that's about it when the ball hits the ground...too many panic decisions.
Maybe Fisher and Dow on the wings? I thought Sunday was probably Fish's best game this year and he used the ball really well.
Cottrell lacks nothing in endeavour but his disposal lets him down but I thought he was pretty good in the latter stages. Newnes....hmm...not sold on him either. I think we can do better and he's not the future.
Re: AFL Rd 6 2022 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Fremantle - ElwoodBlues1 - 04-19-2022
(04-19-2022, 02:06 AM)WASurfer link Wrote:As much as Silvagni gives his all, not sure we can ask him to go up against Lobb. TDK probably needs to play this week, irrespective of his VFL form on the weekend.I'm a fan of Dow on the wing, agree on Setterfield and Parks.
One thing we need is a bit of pace....watching that Freo game, they were very quick on the outside and it's not an area we're overly blessed with. IMO, I'd have Dow in the team this week and play him off a wing even if Cripps comes back in. Setterfield needs to be dropped...forget the stats, he's not contributing at all and lost count of the number of panic handballs he made to a team mate under more pressure.
I'm not sold on Parks at this stage. Young was good in his first game for us but has looked very shaky in recent weeks. He's good for the spoil in a contest but that's about it when the ball hits the ground...too many panic decisions.
Maybe Fisher and Dow on the wings? I thought Sunday was probably Fish's best game this year and he used the ball really well.
Cottrell lacks nothing in endeavour but his disposal lets him down but I thought he was pretty good in the latter stages. Newnes....hmm...not sold on him either. I think we can do better and he's not the future.
Cottrell was ok and gives you effort and I thought was good when the game was on the line. Not the future but a steady Indian until we get a few others up to speed like Honey, Carroll, Philp.....